TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,143 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over35c54,697$19,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,260.1322139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under65c31,069$20,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,008.3174447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c19,354$12,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,898.944,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under65c19,272$12,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,817.0577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Under64c17,969$11,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,468.756943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over37c16,034$5,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,869.812,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under65c16,027$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,627.231,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Over35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,25025844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under65c12,500$8,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,42586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under64c11,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed Over35c7,943$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,779.885244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c7,210$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.233,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under64c5,005$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.412,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over36c4,254$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.646930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over24c2,873$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under67c2,693$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.914,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under64c2,536$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.632,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…1398backed Over37c2,112$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.37825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over36c2,001$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.256445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over16c1,637$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.142,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under64c1,502$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.5661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46dd…257ebacked Over35c1,445$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over29c1,400$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6213447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over3c1,385$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.09626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d63…b436backed Over35c1,256$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Over36c1,239$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.8713721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under65c1,213$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.561,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c1,184$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36011243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over35c852.02$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.1364443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over34c846$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.642,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6567…50d6backed Over37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under66c803.56$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.771,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over13c680$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1228822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Over37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508939.3%35 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under63c623.88$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.841,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over12c606.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9834924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over36c578.46$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.271,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over35c570.52$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.461,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over37c536.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over34c447.81$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.261,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over37c410.81$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15222919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over31c410$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.112040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Over37c405.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9511325.7%29 W · 84 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98da…a9ebbacked Over37c364.86$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over65c363.72$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9519838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over34c361.96$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.322,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under65c357.76$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3392038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under58c351.76$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3884751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over7c319.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under64c319$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.842,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd06…f0c1backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846346%29 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under65c293.6$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.761,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over35c290.34$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.711,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over35c287.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d90…7e0abacked Over36c283.73$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.143826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…9e5cbacked Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under67c274.27$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9311745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e1…ad5abacked Over36c219.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802825%7 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over37c209.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.74334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over12c201.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2314526.2%38 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under64c200.03$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.511,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7732…a330backed Over37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under63c199.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over31c199.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9927028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6621…22ccbacked Over34c191.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8577…0eb3backed Over29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502119%4 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Over37c170$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.96549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over37c170$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.911338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Under65c154.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.687655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Over40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cc…a636backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under64c142.14$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed Over36c141.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0810844.4%48 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under64c140$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb460…6e64backed Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509357%53 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…99a5backed Over36c138.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa883…f526backed Over34c134.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.732222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over37c124.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4627655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under64c116.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.782,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under76c115.69$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0338745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over11c113$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.433,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c7…1ad3backed Over37c106.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.587040%28 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9be…663ebacked Over19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0f…e49cbacked Under73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Under80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011444.7%51 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1538…8676backed Over32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019548.7%95 W · 100 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under66c93.19$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2470750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d46…1eacbacked Over35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Over36c84.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5420333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.