TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$591,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$624,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,900 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under17c70,143$12,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,139.424,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under15c61,131$9,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,390.9364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over76c39,998$30,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.64235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under6c30,649$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.443,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under5c20,400$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02420724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under6c17,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0204223.8%10 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+86%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under5c17,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under17c13,849$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,351.3736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under15c13,265$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.382,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under5c12,050$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.9871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.978258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under5c9,314$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.6614325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under22c8,681$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.111,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under25c7,183$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.7977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under10c6,182$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.1244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under28c4,616$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.1639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under6c4,607$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0436437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over73c4,228$3,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7789…a2cebacked Under13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006030%18 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under21c3,714$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.25360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under12c3,192$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over80c2,923$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.173,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under6c2,702$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5516325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over80c2,629$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.835952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over66c2,526$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.944772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under21c2,458$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.8244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under17c2,353$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over80c2,250$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under6c2,123$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.381,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under14c2,100$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2978658.1%50 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under28c2,010$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.74027.5%11 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012831.3%40 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63ad…8089backed Under6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid+185.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011721.4%25 W · 92 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…9bfebacked Under1c1,896$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.962630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under8c1,872$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.162,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b9…5bd1backed Under9c1,764$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under2c1,667$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over70c1,569$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5525865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under20c1,560$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.121,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under32c1,555$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.524746.8%22 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Under22c1,550$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.6312254.1%66 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over73c1,507$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.8511851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d82…d90abacked Over80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002568%17 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e32…ac88backed Over73c1,425$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.647951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under22c1,387$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under21c1,351$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.921,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under6c1,290$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.754,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f22…8806backed Over73c1,232$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.052231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under6c1,183$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1421937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419f…9cdcbacked Over71c1,175$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.431070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2db2…84fdbacked Under23c1,065$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.011136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30012763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Under10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007241.7%30 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22f7…b205backed Over74c1,000$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.17875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under12c944.07$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1821722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14be…3296backed Over75c928.17$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.044829.2%14 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under6c900$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5422639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over70c852.8$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8428964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe197…2ce7backed Under6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under6c806.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over70c805.7$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7135658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over75c802.63$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.021,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under6c792$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.521,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over66c774.06$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.184568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under27c747.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under5c699.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3784844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc5…e175backed Over71c690$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.891533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under18c670.18$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Over80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12511256.3%63 W · 49 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over76c624.94$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2434731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Under21c616.3$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.338942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over77c595.23$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1517827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under5c568$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.41,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d25…12c6backed Under8c562.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455322.6%12 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under24c558.5$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0126647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over75c527.53$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4316750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7578…6426backed Under11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557335.6%26 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce4…d6d6backed Under6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+263.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd099…6ad3backed Under5c499.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257030%21 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under5c496.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.811756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d68…d64cbacked Under18c494.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002718.5%5 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under5c441.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.231,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…5ed8backed Under23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005228.8%15 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc616…3571backed Over69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.785257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under5c419.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under23c416.57$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.238745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over77c402.71$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4411170.3%78 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under7c402.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.822,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4d…09febacked Over77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under10c390.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2121143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.