TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe197…2ce7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT8625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.34
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.35
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$195.87
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$80.12
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$195.79
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$227.78
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$87.35
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$69.03
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.38
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.46
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.84
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.69
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.85
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$211.86
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$89.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.39
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+330.6%+$165.32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.5
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+158.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempobacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$97.65
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+83.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+266.8%+$448.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.