Fifa International · resolved market
England leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b6a6f78100b3f5ba58acaf116f76a3293c8ad17feb81d0d34b42ab5c12a0db5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $652,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $667,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $652,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 58,637$27,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,171.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 46c | 45,967$20,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,035.94 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 43,095$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 55c | 42,816$23,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,690.03 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 51c | 39,542$20,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,234.9 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 55c | 30,770$16,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,904.72 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed No | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.84 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 19,641$8,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,913.23 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 54c | 19,426$10,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,490.22 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 45c | 16,058$7,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,831.82 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 14,459$6,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,951.56 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…2b8ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 55c | 10,759$5,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,917.23 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 56c | 10,020$5,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,611.2 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.94 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 9,597$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,286.54 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 8,716$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,815.12 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…f93dbacked Yes | 55c | 8,182$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Yes | 16c | 8,032$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.08 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 14c | 6,908$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.24 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 45c | 6,400$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 46c | 5,703$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.74 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.99 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 45c | 5,247$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.35 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 5c | 4,708$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.4 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked No | 80c | 3,754$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.73 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 2c | 3,698$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 45c | 3,648$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 3,583$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.25 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 49c | 3,462$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.88 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 56c | 2,900$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,750$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.5 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 8c | 2,714$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,569$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.13 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 44c | 2,400$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.98 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 55c | 2,250$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.89 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 5c | 2,242$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 1,944$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.56 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed Yes | 55c | 1,882$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…00abbacked Yes | 35c | 1,869$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.26 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 1,866$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.86 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,717$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.47 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.17 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 74c | 1,672$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.14 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 19c | 1,664$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.73 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 40c | 1,662$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.99 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 8c | 1,597$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 64c | 1,475$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…4005backed Yes | 10c | 1,429$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 45c | 1,414$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.68 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 1,231$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.02 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed No | 44c | 1,194$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.61 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,168$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.39 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 75c | 1,155$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.66 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.15 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 55c | 1,036$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…5db1backed Yes | 55c | 1,015$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Yes | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 45c | 999.96$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 15c | 999.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 45c | 999.89$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.94 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 35c | 988.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.9 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 26c | 960$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.23 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 13c | 952.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed No | 46c | 895.65$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.65 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes | 55c | 883.06$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.68 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Yes | 52c | 850$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1d…d2afbacked Yes | 11c | 846.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…67c8backed Yes | 55c | 744.76$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 22c | 734.29$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.21 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 55c | 727.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Yes | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…cd3ebacked Yes | 54c | 720.67$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.16 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 49c | 697.46$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.7 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked No | 46c | 681.47$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.93 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…bb07backed Yes | 55c | 672.73$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…1276backed No | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 55c | 618.02$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.91 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…de77backed Yes | 54c | 609.26$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…e2f9backed Yes | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 44c | 575.53$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.13 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…1bffbacked Yes | 18c | 555.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 552$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 508.91$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.99 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England leading at halftime?this page
- DR Congo leading at halftime?Yes won
- England vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.