Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9f06e804f44e9439d3658a57ee2a3fa6a4b723ee0deb797ddf4d2ed7fd65ab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 123,429$8,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,988.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 78,946$57,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,107.01 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 28,925$18,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,831.76 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 30c | 15,766$4,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,775.74 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 40c | 12,230$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 61c | 11,241$6,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,364.41 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 61c | 9,921$6,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.17 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 38c | 7,553$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.14 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 19c | 6,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 36c | 5,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 60c | 4,092$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.93 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 39c | 3,846$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 30c | 3,508$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.39 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.99 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 3,459$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.37 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 16c | 3,411$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.3 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 3,213$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.8 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 31c | 3,153$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.3 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 15c | 2,999$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.85 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 77c | 2,882$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…2938backed Yes | 19c | 2,701$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 2,534$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.23 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed Yes | 32c | 2,484$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.76 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 15c | 2,337$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.02 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 20c | 2,334$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.48 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 2,234$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.48 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 27c | 1,942$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.16 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,756$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.37 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 37c | 1,562$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.81 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 80c | 1,509$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.24 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 27c | 1,439$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.83 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ba…fe72backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Yes | 24c | 1,353$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,276$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.1 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…bb32backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked Yes | 40c | 1,225$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 61c | 1,163$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.92 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 65c | 1,144$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.26 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 26c | 1,061$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.25 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 67c | 1,029$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.69 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Yes | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 74c | 1,018$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.97 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 71c | 1,012$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.95 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 979.03$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.34 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 962.69$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 20c | 941.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 930.82$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.33 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 39c | 900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 61c | 900$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 20c | 790$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 23c | 780.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.29 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…e9dcbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 40c | 710$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 63c | 707.98$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.08 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 687.51$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.53 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 20c | 672.24$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…be84backed Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 61c | 655.83$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.47 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 13c | 637$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…9f74backed Yes | 19c | 636.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 14c | 631.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f44…b271backed Yes | 26c | 605.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 34c | 590.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 9c | 577.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…5657backed Yes | 36c | 574.56$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…4463backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 554.29$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.66 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1d…d2afbacked Yes | 15c | 533.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 60c | 512$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 61c | 501$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.39 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…cde3backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…e75fbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…379cbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508b…d951backed Yes | 40c | 450.63$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 32c | 437.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 62c | 437.12$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 74c | 415.49$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…e50cbacked Yes | 18c | 401$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 62c | 400$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?this page
- DR Congo leading at halftime?Yes won
- England leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.