Fifa International · resolved market
DR Congo leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cdcb48780ea5fe2d6eaacafc018a82cfba8419c2f14dbdead9a0a2ae47316e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $520,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $576,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 50,786$29,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,723.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Yes | 8c | 32,686$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,071.19 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 25,348$7,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,954.69 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 15,728$8,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,771.45 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 13,212$8,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,028.42 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 38c | 11,566$4,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,346.35 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 23c | 10,585$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.97 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed No | 31c | 9,601$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.11 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes | 60c | 6,728$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.29 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 67c | 6,623$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.54 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 71c | 5,778$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.13 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 24c | 5,685$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.57 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked No | 41c | 5,227$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.39 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 39c | 5,051$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.35 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 52c | 4,700$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 8c | 4,524$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161.93 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 45c | 4,412$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.92 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 72c | 3,414$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.68 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 78c | 3,394$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.23 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 68c | 3,380$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.64 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…f875backed Yes | 8c | 3,125$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 37c | 3,048$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.51 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 40c | 2,516$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.11 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 57c | 2,478$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.99 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 39c | 2,243$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.29 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 34c | 2,031$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.85 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,668$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.87 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 5c | 1,510$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 33c | 1,461$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.65 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 30c | 1,408$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.51 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 63c | 1,323$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.52 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 77c | 1,320$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.22 | 88 | 71.6%63 W · 25 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 64c | 1,308$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.53 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 3c | 1,263$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…be84backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 41c | 1,219$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.16 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…5f1bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,089$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.7 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed No | 22c | 1,047$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.74 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 30c | 1,038$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.62 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 45c | 1,026$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.05 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e67…e745backed Yes | 67c | 1,020$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.81 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 1,019$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.27 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 31c | 1,002$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.69 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…4fa9backed No | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 8c | 963.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.65 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 8c | 918.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.25 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 60c | 840.26$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.21 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 72c | 828.5$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.89 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Yes | 7c | 777$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.61 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…f9bbbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.29 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 29c | 709.2$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.89 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Yes | 63c | 682.81$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.64 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f44…b271backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 33c | 599$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.93 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…d2c3backed Yes | 8c | 590.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.26 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 50c | 554.28$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.98 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…44fcbacked Yes | 45c | 536.07$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.61 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 76c | 498.02$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…13d2backed Yes | 78c | 484$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 46c | 432.15$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 51c | 430.24$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.82 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…022cbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Yes | 60c | 414.38$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 74c | 406$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.57 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…5657backed Yes | 66c | 375.7$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Yes | 7c | 362$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.66 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed No | 39c | 358.34$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 69c | 358.17$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.66 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…e0c8backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.14 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed Yes | 57c | 354.49$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked No | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 36c | 339.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.57 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 26c | 329.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed No | 30c | 327.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Yes | 54c | 321$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…db52backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 76c | 308.19$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…7f29backed Yes | 55c | 289$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 28c | 261.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 345 | 40.3%139 W · 206 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 75c | 257.01$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked Yes | 45c | 252.89$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DR Congo leading at halftime?this page
- England leading at halftime?No won
- England vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.