TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No77c26,099$20,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,974.195,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No64c25,486$16,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,051.6219340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes23c13,521$3,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,117.231,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No74c8,790$6,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.373447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes42c5,576$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.772763%17 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes20c5,456$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.741,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes21c3,640$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.222,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007761%47 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Yes20c2,912$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.332642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes21c2,549$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.586237.1%23 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01e9…03bbbacked No69c1,869$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.891464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes36c1,284$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.851,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No60c1,223$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.746663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No63c1,219$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.8717753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed No67c1,207$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.252544%11 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c1,100$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.292,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked Yes24c1,005$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.223450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No74c919.33$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8847155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No79c858.56$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.348768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Yes21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501540%6 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No77c671.83$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.522075%15 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf851…ef53backed Yes45c613.69$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.363534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005937.3%22 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+164.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Yes21c605$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.22250%11 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes32c600.13$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.195240.4%21 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No78c548.58$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.692,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Yes20c547.42$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.581631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No79c544.8$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8496846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No66c458.35$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.731,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d98…42eabacked Yes21c417.85$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+129.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c404.6$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.331,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c373.52$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.711,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No69c333.45$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.175420.4%11 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No78c304.28$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9284347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Yes20c277.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.432540%10 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed No58c241$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…b756backed Yes32c228.63$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.162445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Yes20c177.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.283345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked Yes21c167.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes22c165$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.82050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed Yes33c144$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.83842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe19b…4b86backed Yes42c129.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No79c127.48$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6224448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0348…3d81backed Yes14c126.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.641127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes41c120.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.619747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes42c120.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.453946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No78c119.84$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.561,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4614646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Yes41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Yes40c87.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.166038.3%23 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Yes21c83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.432152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes43c81.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1614744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed Yes16c70.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe197…2ce7backed Yes43c69.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11668.8%11 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.513846.4%64 W · 74 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No56c61.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.93545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes28c57.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9356445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked No70c57.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.54850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Yes21c54.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc986…1654backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed No78c50.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x919f…bfbebacked No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes44c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes24c42.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1737559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No79c40.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.426136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed No79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes40c33.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.471,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f57…f8c5backed No61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.74946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No62c29.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.094163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes45c29.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.096349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No57c25.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8811145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b76…4f2dbacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe36a…ae58backed Yes43c23.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.23461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked No75c18.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.475369.8%37 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed No78c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.523652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked No74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.951283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed No79c14.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.