Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5813f4449dc7f6e7a4e8aa24af526592542e1923ef9b2421f73c3f565040e5a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 27c | 19,391$5,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,293.9 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 43c | 15,884$6,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,774.1 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 80c | 13,204$10,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.14 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 52c | 10,028$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 49c | 6,871$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.83 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 6,792$4,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.69 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked Yes | 56c | 6,010$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 35c | 5,204$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.34 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 4,147$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.52 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 48c | 3,779$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.99 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 2,780$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.37 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 76c | 2,417$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.36 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed No | 25c | 2,240$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.33 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 1,938$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.36 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed No | 35c | 1,722$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 49c | 1,313$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.55 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed No | 18c | 1,249$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.79 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 29c | 1,217$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.01 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Yes | 44c | 1,156$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.06 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Yes | 27c | 1,072$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 59c | 912.7$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.1 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 20c | 865.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.08 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 833.57$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.59 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 833.43$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.28 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 813.55$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.6 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 51c | 800.07$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.2 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…1facbacked Yes | 50c | 689.01$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 50c | 631$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 50c | 552$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.37 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 48c | 525.65$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 39c | 506.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d98…42eabacked Yes | 22c | 500.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 50c | 498.38$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 52c | 492.1$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.36 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked No | 48c | 452.73$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…063fbacked Yes | 25c | 450$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +298.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 51c | 416$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.84 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 30c | 332.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 52c | 326.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.88 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 56c | 291.96$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.06 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed No | 50c | 271.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…b756backed Yes | 22c | 228.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.34 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked No | 48c | 216.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…0bafbacked Yes | 34c | 216$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 53c | 206.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 29c | 206.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.42 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19b…4b86backed Yes | 51c | 196.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 35c | 187.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked No | 50c | 185$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 67c | 181.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.93 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…907cbacked Yes | 39c | 181$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 61c | 161.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 67c | 149.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 31c | 143.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 49c | 134.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 51c | 112$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked No | 58c | 109.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…ca7abacked Yes | 31c | 102$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked No | 49c | 78.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked No | 50c | 69.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed No | 50c | 63.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 47c | 62.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 65c | 61.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…6fc2backed Yes | 39c | 54.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…194cbacked Yes | 44c | 44.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…765abacked No | 59c | 42.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1882…1af4backed No | 47c | 42.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed No | 50c | 40.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…922bbacked No | 45c | 35.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 49c | 33.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 52c | 33.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 41c | 33.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 34c | 31.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed No | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 52c | 29.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 25.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed No | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed No | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed No | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 49c | 20.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…d377backed Yes | 79c | 12.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-04?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.