Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6182d95e65988b9eb5aef3016deb640e966a5d78ff97c8799aac18ed277020fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed G2 NORD | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed G2 NORD | 5c | 2,124$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed G2 NORD | 6c | 1,569$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked G2 NORD | 18c | 1,495$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3a…94aabacked G2 NORD | 1c | 1,220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a3…dc78backed G2 NORD | 10c | 1,116$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked G2 NORD | 18c | 1,101$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.18 | 173 | 39.3%68 W · 105 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed G2 NORD | 4c | 920.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 525 | 43.8%230 W · 295 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked G2 NORD | 17c | 899.95$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…2ce7backed G2 NORD | 4c | 800.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked G2 NORD | 16c | 775$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed G2 NORD | 16c | 762.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked G2 NORD | 6c | 751.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed G2 NORD | 2c | 750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed G2 NORD | 16c | 665.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed G2 NORD | 20c | 571$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed G2 NORD | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Solary | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Solary | 75c | 377.64$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked G2 NORD | 18c | 282.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed G2 NORD | 9c | 265.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked G2 NORD | 12c | 251.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Solary | 75c | 211.83$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed G2 NORD | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…c7aabacked G2 NORD | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed G2 NORD | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed G2 NORD | 25c | 196.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0acb…05c2backed G2 NORD | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed G2 NORD | 16c | 149.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed G2 NORD | 17c | 145$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…a26ebacked G2 NORD | 8c | 133.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed G2 NORD | 13c | 131.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…3025backed Solary | 79c | 126.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 124 | 71%88 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed G2 NORD | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 NORD | 14c | 117.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 NORD | 15c | 114.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 NORD | 14c | 103.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Solary | 79c | 101.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed G2 NORD | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed G2 NORD | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed G2 NORD | 16c | 88.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked G2 NORD | 17c | 69.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed G2 NORD | 16c | 67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked G2 NORD | 18c | 62.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsthis page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)Solary won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5)G2 NORD won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.