Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b98d19199cf80673a552c39d1543e4bc43e4cf0cb8debb30e951c8fad9de580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Solary | 78c | 7,420$5,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.05 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Solary | 64c | 6,530$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.1 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed G2 NORD | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked G2 NORD | 21c | 4,384$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.6 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed G2 NORD | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked G2 NORD | 26c | 2,450$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Solary | 65c | 2,042$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.98 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed G2 NORD | 21c | 2,007$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.96 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed G2 NORD | 18c | 1,446$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.09 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked G2 NORD | 22c | 1,244$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.66 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed G2 NORD | 38c | 1,225$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.61 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed G2 NORD | 28c | 1,196$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.06 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed G2 NORD | 20c | 1,063$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.54 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…a12abacked Solary | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed G2 NORD | 26c | 974.09$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed G2 NORD | 23c | 932.62$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.5 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed G2 NORD | 21c | 899.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed G2 NORD | 27c | 849.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Solary | 73c | 819.98$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Solary | 74c | 674.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.82 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed G2 NORD | 16c | 643.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa09…b681backed G2 NORD | 26c | 552$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked G2 NORD | 17c | 549$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed G2 NORD | 20c | 526.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed G2 NORD | 35c | 486.38$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…9551backed Solary | 80c | 486.05$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked G2 NORD | 13c | 485.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Solary | 53c | 479.71$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.09 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed G2 NORD | 3c | 450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…e1b3backed G2 NORD | 22c | 403.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Solary | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Solary | 65c | 309.87$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed G2 NORD | 18c | 296.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…2bf1backed Solary | 62c | 262.86$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Solary | 73c | 201.65$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Solary | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Solary | 73c | 171.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked G2 NORD | 16c | 166.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Solary | 62c | 162$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…3fb4backed Solary | 62c | 156.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Solary | 65c | 141.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 NORD | 22c | 132.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Solary | 65c | 103.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -9.8wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed G2 NORD | 23c | 101.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed G2 NORD | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked G2 NORD | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed G2 NORD | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed G2 NORD | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed G2 NORD | 14c | 99.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed G2 NORD | 18c | 91.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…4114backed Solary | 62c | 89.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Solary | 59c | 84.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed G2 NORD | 39c | 77.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked G2 NORD | 17c | 69.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Solary | 56c | 66.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Solary | 76c | 66.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…d590backed Solary | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed G2 NORD | 20c | 57.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked G2 NORD | 19c | 56.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed G2 NORD | 26c | 51.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Solary | 70c | 46.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | -20.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3027…3594backed Solary | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Solary | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Solary | 73c | 34.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Solary | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c6…1ee2backed Solary | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c8…41f3backed Solary | 80c | 13.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.61 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…c284backed Solary | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)Solary won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5)G2 NORD won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 WinnerG2 NORD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.