Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf47f6b1499ce4d338f8aea20a203409b7c338ea2c13fed60349fb21075b7de27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 58c | 933$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 40c | 902.67$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.07 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 38c | 555$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 60c | 413$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Over | 60c | 398.53$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Under | 49c | 306$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 38c | 235$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 60c | 217.47$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 58c | 23.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 61c | 21.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)Solary won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5)G2 NORD won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.