Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceb3b3082f83bf218e78cdeba2f51892079dda392e08e0b3ece32ef66e1b6bb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Solary | 80c | 15,000$11,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.24 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed G2 NORD | 19c | 6,021$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.52 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked G2 NORD | 20c | 5,212$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.36 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed G2 NORD | 20c | 5,074$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.94 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 NORD | 17c | 3,645$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.6 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed G2 NORD | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked G2 NORD | 17c | 2,130$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.03 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed G2 NORD | 20c | 1,788$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed G2 NORD | 10c | 1,553$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.73 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Solary | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed G2 NORD | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed G2 NORD | 17c | 1,044$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.53 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed G2 NORD | 20c | 992$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked G2 NORD | 19c | 958.61$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.35 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed G2 NORD | 20c | 790$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 238 | 49.2%117 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Solary | 80c | 727.13$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.43 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 NORD | 15c | 634$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed G2 NORD | 18c | 570.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked G2 NORD | 20c | 567.92$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked G2 NORD | 18c | 561.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed G2 NORD | 20c | 546.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…8726backed G2 NORD | 19c | 509.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Solary | 70c | 507.14$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.14 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed G2 NORD | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked G2 NORD | 17c | 475.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc0…9d48backed Solary | 79c | 467.53$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed G2 NORD | 20c | 451.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed G2 NORD | 14c | 443.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed G2 NORD | 30c | 435.72$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Solary | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked G2 NORD | 30c | 427.71$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed G2 NORD | 20c | 422.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed G2 NORD | 15c | 369.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed G2 NORD | 28c | 368$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed G2 NORD | 21c | 341.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed G2 NORD | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 524 | 38.9%204 W · 320 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Solary | 80c | 298.71$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 664 | 58%385 W · 279 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…e613backed G2 NORD | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Solary | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed G2 NORD | 17c | 195$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 NORD | 16c | 179.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked G2 NORD | 12c | 176.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 514 | 54.5%280 W · 234 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed G2 NORD | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…1e72backed G2 NORD | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 341 | 41.6%142 W · 199 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked G2 NORD | 18c | 100.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…7adfbacked Solary | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 188 | 36.7%69 W · 119 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 NORD | 13c | 99.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed G2 NORD | 15c | 93.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed G2 NORD | 22c | 90.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 29.7%47 W · 111 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 NORD | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 NORD | 14c | 89.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked G2 NORD | 19c | 80.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x590c…9268backed Solary | 72c | 72.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…dad7backed Solary | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked G2 NORD | 20c | 59.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Solary | 80c | 55.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked G2 NORD | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…b4a2backed Solary | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Solary | 78c | 31.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | -20.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Solary | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Solary | 78c | 21.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Solary | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…9384backed Solary | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…82d3backed Solary | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa946…dd53backed Solary | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)Solary won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5)G2 NORD won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.