Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9230881bc33b93aa0ca0876c16c130453694aab923e3443d154c92d2be5b42a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 63c | 11,074$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.6 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Inner Circle | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Inner Circle | 31c | 7,423$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.1 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle | 9c | 6,031$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.8 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Inner Circle | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.98 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Inner Circle | 12c | 4,015$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.12 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Inner Circle | 19c | 4,000$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.84 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Inner Circle | 25c | 3,000$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.98 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Inner Circle | 0c | 2,731$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked MOUZ | 68c | 2,559$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.78 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked MOUZ | 68c | 2,380$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 69c | 2,032$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.87 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Inner Circle | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Inner Circle | 28c | 1,939$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.66 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked MOUZ | 69c | 1,484$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…5efcbacked Inner Circle | 20c | 1,392$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Inner Circle | 34c | 1,316$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.86 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,209$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.23 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Inner Circle | 37c | 1,189$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed MOUZ | 65c | 1,162$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.7 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Inner Circle | 1c | 1,050$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed MOUZ | 69c | 1,034$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.22 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Inner Circle | 32c | 1,031$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.76 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…56a3backed Inner Circle | 14c | 1,007$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Inner Circle | 32c | 1,002$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.09 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Inner Circle | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Inner Circle | 28c | 999.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.47 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Inner Circle | 11c | 989.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed MOUZ | 65c | 901.36$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.48 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle | 2c | 852.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 66c | 826.95$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.7 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked MOUZ | 70c | 796.45$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.27 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…10b1backed MOUZ | 67c | 772.05$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.78 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Inner Circle | 32c | 699.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Inner Circle | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked MOUZ | 78c | 637.65$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.94 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed MOUZ | 71c | 621.11$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.16 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed MOUZ | 64c | 620$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.49 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed MOUZ | 68c | 582.28$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.33 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked MOUZ | 69c | 578.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…f574backed MOUZ | 73c | 551.55$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MOUZ | 75c | 545.13$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle | 10c | 528.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Inner Circle | 30c | 515$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Inner Circle | 16c | 513.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed MOUZ | 70c | 510.33$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.1 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Inner Circle | 9c | 507.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked MOUZ | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…7b63backed Inner Circle | 14c | 500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MOUZ | 73c | 496.28$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked MOUZ | 68c | 483.82$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.82 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked MOUZ | 69c | 459.92$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.13 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MOUZ | 75c | 454.36$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Inner Circle | 7c | 439.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked MOUZ | 70c | 429.41$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3812…e4b0backed Inner Circle | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MOUZ | 75c | 413$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Inner Circle | 23c | 405.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Inner Circle | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Inner Circle | 6c | 397.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Inner Circle | 5c | 380.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed MOUZ | 63c | 362.49$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed MOUZ | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Inner Circle | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle | 21c | 351.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Inner Circle | 32c | 335.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Inner Circle | 10c | 333.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked MOUZ | 70c | 333.7$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Inner Circle | 36c | 319.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Inner Circle | 32c | 306.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…944cbacked MOUZ | 63c | 305.73$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…6dc9backed MOUZ | 67c | 304.36$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…58dabacked MOUZ | 68c | 300$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed MOUZ | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed MOUZ | 71c | 296.52$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d2ffbacked MOUZ | 67c | 283.58$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked MOUZ | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked MOUZ | 79c | 258.25$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Inner Circle | 9c | 246$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed MOUZ | 66c | 245.58$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MOUZ | 66c | 230.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed MOUZ | 74c | 213$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Inner Circle | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle | 16c | 211.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…5473backed MOUZ | 69c | 210$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked MOUZ | 68c | 203$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Inner Circle | 33c | 199.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed MOUZ | 76c | 197.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Inner Circle | 10c | 193.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…dc48backed Inner Circle | 35c | 181.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…ca35backed MOUZ | 69c | 173.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Inner Circle | 24c | 172$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Inner Circle | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed MOUZ | 70c | 169.14$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9806…3d1cbacked Inner Circle | 30c | 169.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle | 20c | 164$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed MOUZ | 65c | 161.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…2ce7backed Inner Circle | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed MOUZ | 70c | 156.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.