Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebf4d66a0bdec916e7ab3d97a593c3b576be5d61c2775ad57690e6861310c14e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Inner Circle | 19c | 27,294$5,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,072.79 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Inner Circle | 8c | 24,387$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.69 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Inner Circle | 23c | 12,720$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.82 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6a…6cd9backed Inner Circle | 3c | 12,561$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 65c | 10,694$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.28 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Inner Circle | 14c | 10,114$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.13 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Inner Circle | 20c | 9,527$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Inner Circle | 26c | 9,000$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed MOUZ | 78c | 7,952$6,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.72 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed Inner Circle | 22c | 6,732$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Inner Circle | 18c | 6,513$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.84 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 80c | 6,332$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.33 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Inner Circle | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed Inner Circle | 4c | 4,028$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Inner Circle | 19c | 3,708$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.94 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ | 79c | 3,166$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.77 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Inner Circle | 14c | 3,159$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.51 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Inner Circle | 4c | 2,721$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Inner Circle | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Inner Circle | 22c | 2,436$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.84 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Inner Circle | 18c | 2,415$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Inner Circle | 17c | 2,295$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.64 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 21c | 2,189$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.74 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed MOUZ | 79c | 2,075$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.72 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Inner Circle | 33c | 2,045$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle | 16c | 1,687$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.12 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Inner Circle | 32c | 1,600$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Inner Circle | 19c | 1,588$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.44 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Inner Circle | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed MOUZ | 79c | 1,495$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.21 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle | 15c | 1,341$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked MOUZ | 67c | 1,323$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.31 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Inner Circle | 32c | 1,266$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.03 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Inner Circle | 19c | 1,250$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.4 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Inner Circle | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Inner Circle | 12c | 1,188$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Inner Circle | 18c | 1,115$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Inner Circle | 2c | 1,050$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Inner Circle | 23c | 1,000$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.67 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked MOUZ | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Inner Circle | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Inner Circle | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Inner Circle | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked MOUZ | 67c | 982.81$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.33 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…624fbacked Inner Circle | 21c | 900$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle | 26c | 866.97$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Inner Circle | 16c | 840$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Inner Circle | 26c | 814.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked MOUZ | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Inner Circle | 34c | 763.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.76 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Inner Circle | 15c | 700.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed MOUZ | 68c | 668.66$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.97 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked MOUZ | 79c | 665$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed MOUZ | 75c | 648.15$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Inner Circle | 22c | 628.74$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Inner Circle | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa851…4dedbacked Inner Circle | 24c | 619.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Inner Circle | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Inner Circle | 22c | 572.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed MOUZ | 80c | 570$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed MOUZ | 73c | 550$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked MOUZ | 79c | 550$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Inner Circle | 10c | 543.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle | 17c | 531.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Inner Circle | 34c | 519.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Inner Circle | 22c | 513.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Inner Circle | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Inner Circle | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Inner Circle | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed MOUZ | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ | 77c | 499.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Inner Circle | 26c | 498$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ed…41b2backed MOUZ | 67c | 478.73$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Inner Circle | 9c | 467.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed Inner Circle | 32c | 451.37$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.44 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9088…e089backed Inner Circle | 21c | 439.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Inner Circle | 39c | 427.87$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.87 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Inner Circle | 12c | 422.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Inner Circle | 34c | 416.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed MOUZ | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Inner Circle | 20c | 395.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Inner Circle | 26c | 361.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…ab72backed MOUZ | 69c | 323.19$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…b7babacked Inner Circle | 10c | 311.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Inner Circle | 6c | 310$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Inner Circle | 13c | 302.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Inner Circle | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Inner Circle | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…b217backed MOUZ | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Inner Circle | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MOUZ | 68c | 290$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle | 32c | 282.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed Inner Circle | 7c | 279.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed MOUZ | 68c | 278$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Inner Circle | 24c | 277$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Inner Circle | 24c | 273$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed MOUZ | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Inner Circle | 21c | 266.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.