Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecdabdaebb27e65118bc031b064247a7cfa42714def2748a376f6de300bcdb8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 59c | 29,326$17,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,028.87 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Inner Circle | 30c | 26,915$7,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,984.76 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Inner Circle | 42c | 15,414$6,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,420 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 69c | 11,745$8,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.14 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 44c | 11,540$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,482.4 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed MOUZ | 65c | 11,506$7,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.88 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed MOUZ | 80c | 9,873$7,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.7 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Inner Circle | 35c | 8,526$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ | 61c | 7,420$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.86 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle | 32c | 6,399$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.83 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Inner Circle | 54c | 5,766$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.17 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ | 66c | 4,602$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.78 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Inner Circle | 55c | 4,386$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.58 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle | 33c | 4,297$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.47 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Inner Circle | 48c | 4,255$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.12 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle | 43c | 4,188$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.17 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 31c | 3,763$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.41 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Inner Circle | 28c | 3,645$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.9 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Inner Circle | 53c | 3,495$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.38 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked MOUZ | 63c | 3,420$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.68 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Inner Circle | 45c | 3,200$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Inner Circle | 38c | 3,076$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.32 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle | 34c | 2,697$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.35 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Inner Circle | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Inner Circle | 47c | 2,584$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.46 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed MOUZ | 60c | 2,250$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.99 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle | 29c | 2,095$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.31 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Inner Circle | 1c | 2,005$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Inner Circle | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,975$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.88 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Inner Circle | 40c | 1,952$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.55 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,800$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.85 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle | 32c | 1,677$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.53 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,613$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.29 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Inner Circle | 39c | 1,609$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.91 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Inner Circle | 36c | 1,545$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.23 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked MOUZ | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed MOUZ | 65c | 1,408$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.63 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Inner Circle | 48c | 1,403$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Inner Circle | 43c | 1,386$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.56 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Inner Circle | 45c | 1,373$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.09 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed MOUZ | 74c | 1,340$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.63 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Inner Circle | 39c | 1,293$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Inner Circle | 43c | 1,250$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Inner Circle | 32c | 1,217$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.8 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Inner Circle | 20c | 1,215$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Inner Circle | 3c | 1,208$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,174$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.92 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Inner Circle | 43c | 1,158$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Inner Circle | 30c | 1,150$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,140$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.78 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Inner Circle | 42c | 1,135$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.14 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Inner Circle | 20c | 1,129$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.28 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Inner Circle | 38c | 1,127$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle | 31c | 1,083$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.74 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Inner Circle | 38c | 1,061$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked MOUZ | 61c | 1,052$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.9 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Inner Circle | 56c | 1,036$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Inner Circle | 32c | 1,013$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.18 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Inner Circle | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Inner Circle | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed MOUZ | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Inner Circle | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Inner Circle | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Inner Circle | 33c | 910$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Inner Circle | 14c | 899.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Inner Circle | 30c | 881.43$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked MOUZ | 72c | 864.72$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.49 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed MOUZ | 50c | 852$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 850.49$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.03 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Inner Circle | 44c | 850.33$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.64 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Inner Circle | 59c | 848.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 60c | 846$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.16 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ | 62c | 836.42$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.4 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed MOUZ | 53c | 813.49$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.07 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Inner Circle | 38c | 806$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.28 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed MOUZ | 65c | 802.56$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.37 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Inner Circle | 24c | 800$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Inner Circle | 27c | 756.16$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed MOUZ | 65c | 737$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.97 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle | 52c | 721.34$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.6 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…624fbacked Inner Circle | 36c | 719.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MOUZ | 60c | 702.74$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.09 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Inner Circle | 37c | 696.92$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.21 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Inner Circle | 36c | 675.67$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.07 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed MOUZ | 77c | 655.18$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.52 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Inner Circle | 27c | 652$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed MOUZ | 64c | 630.89$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.91 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Inner Circle | 3c | 592.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed MOUZ | 51c | 588.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.23 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Inner Circle | 56c | 584.07$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.08 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Inner Circle | 43c | 566.58$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed MOUZ | 52c | 555$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Inner Circle | 36c | 549.71$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.89 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MOUZ | 66c | 530$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed Inner Circle | 8c | 530$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked MOUZ | 46c | 525.85$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.82 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed MOUZ | 80c | 500.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed MOUZ | 78c | 500$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.