TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,367,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,630,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,367,960 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c860,704$10,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,538.46719.4%13 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c74,888$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.468,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a2…96e2backed Yes1c42,682$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.81540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf25…cd94backed Yes2c40,541$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.24825%12 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…3066backed Yes1c37,004$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3703522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes0c31,591$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.76434.7%2 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-77%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7655…358cbacked Yes1c30,803$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3470%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes2c27,792$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.462,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes1c25,497$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0236123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes1c20,683$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5358926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1e8…193fbacked Yes1c19,857$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8550%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde7…9bffbacked Yes2c19,474$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6f…bdfdbacked Yes5c19,297$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002119%4 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…564fbacked Yes1c18,869$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.471020%2 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eab…7badbacked Yes4c18,500$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.96837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c17,813$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.352021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes1c17,755$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.13541.9%1 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes1c17,332$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3912454%67 W · 57 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes1c16,528$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5884738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes1c14,100$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.25803.8%3 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-75.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes0c13,620$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.43128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick1cpaid+1,149.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Yes5c11,957$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes2c11,357$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc787…800dbacked Yes1c11,211$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.63520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2b…ee35backed Yes1c11,201$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes6c11,048$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.6515261.2%93 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Yes1c10,800$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7718837.8%71 W · 117 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf488…0c6dbacked Yes5c10,350$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes4c10,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4109323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd4…50fabacked Yes1c9,591$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.121421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe540…ce7abacked Yes5c9,412$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c0…3cdebacked Yes1c9,363$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70cf…f6cebacked Yes2c9,143$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.352010%2 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc43d…8f2bbacked Yes2c9,089$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.543622.2%8 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1ec…72afbacked Yes1c8,966$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3460%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7995…6351backed Yes2c8,914$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbf…22a9backed Yes1c8,853$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-73%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Yes4c8,338$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.323647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb13…a78abacked Yes2c8,322$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-72.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95ea…b56fbacked Yes4c8,286$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.741513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db3…c579backed Yes2c8,063$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012137.2%45 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes0c7,762$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.481279.4%12 W · 115 L+0.4wins0.00per pick9cpaid-50.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Yes1c7,758$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010349.5%51 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf66…db56backed Yes1c7,653$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7c…c37bbacked Yes1c7,405$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7080%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8429…642fbacked Yes2c6,872$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.55639.3%22 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849d…4891backed Yes1c6,719$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d92…9748backed Yes4c6,548$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e7b…9cd5backed Yes1c6,517$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9390%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes2c6,478$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.015413%7 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-59.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a2…e3e0backed Yes1c6,128$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.84742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+55.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes2c6,090$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8638734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa173…6b1fbacked Yes5c6,052$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c6,031$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.116098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da2…5f73backed Yes1c5,767$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b6d…bec8backed Yes3c5,750$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1955…c6ecbacked Yes2c5,561$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes5c5,252$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c5,217$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.37799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d5…dc0bbacked Yes4c5,185$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes1c5,120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.28563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+93.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes2c5,108$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.21,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Yes5c5,000$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9913046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes2c5,000$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8315742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c4,960$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1526330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c4,906$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.814920.8%31 W · 118 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f49…9178backed Yes3c4,684$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.384626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b55…3620backed Yes4c4,666$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4270%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e9d…8f38backed Yes2c4,653$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.575234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes0c4,650$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8611811.9%14 W · 104 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes4c4,595$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17011256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91b7…01e8backed Yes2c4,576$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100110%0 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2af…a804backed Yes3c4,549$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0250%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7c…2d36backed Yes2c4,449$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754413.6%6 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-60.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ee2…bea6backed Yes0c4,405$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203727%10 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes4c4,149$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.262917.2%5 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick5cpaid+141.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfeaf…5e01backed Yes1c3,963$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.042030%6 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes1c3,820$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.55370%0 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8658…f20fbacked Yes4c3,777$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b1…f224backed Yes1c3,769$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4160%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf53f…ace3backed Yes5c3,735$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.293016.7%5 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes3c3,713$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.743116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5265…cce1backed Yes3c3,682$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes2c3,500$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.59915.2%15 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4498…078dbacked Yes5c3,427$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.43716.2%6 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes5c3,416$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7614116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdf…365bbacked Yes6c3,403$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes2c3,380$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5143835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb97c…7e33backed Yes1c3,275$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes4c3,257$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1168932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce84…86f0backed Yes1c3,219$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes4c3,142$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3360821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…3e40backed Yes1c3,077$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes2c3,000$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6912534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7c…2b74backed Yes1c2,857$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-68.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb04a…6c7dbacked Yes5c2,856$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba4…19f6backed Yes5c2,794$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ac…efa9backed Yes1c2,762$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-82.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe713…af20backed Yes5c2,735$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148130%0 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5df…f1acbacked Yes5c2,715$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+116.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.