Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4264ed4b4c8c98a6da4aaf3a4eaaa6c9d1b6b67055e47f77997802979698602d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,647,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $992,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,647,835 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9449…d829backed Yes	3c	336,696$8,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,804.87	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	2c	56,359$1,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,158.81	152	9.9%15 W · 137 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	2c	27,990$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.57	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	3c	25,957$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.51	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	2c	25,712$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.17	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes	2c	19,131$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.62	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	3c	16,964$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.2	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7170…0534backed Yes	2c	15,500$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be2…5fa6backed Yes	3c	15,223$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.88	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-49%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes	3c	14,795$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	13,934$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.24	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	3c	13,460$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.77	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf53f…ace3backed Yes	4c	13,369$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.26	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	2c	12,913$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa561…f676backed Yes	3c	12,313$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.68	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	1c	12,108$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.85	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	1c	11,803$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.73	54	1.9%1 W · 53 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-88%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes	7c	11,495$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.64	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+12.8wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf8d3…70f5backed Yes	6c	11,491$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Yes	3c	10,435$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43ac…efa9backed Yes	1c	10,224$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.18	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…8c8ebacked Yes	3c	10,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8452…cc80backed Yes	7c	9,952$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.08	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-51%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10d5…33fdbacked Yes	3c	9,681$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.29	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	2c	9,624$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.31	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1229…df38backed Yes	2c	9,523$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.56	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	3c	9,489$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.46	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes	1c	9,365$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.42	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes	2c	8,802$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.59	109	59.6%65 W · 44 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	2c	8,392$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.73	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e7c…2d36backed Yes	2c	8,062$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7db3…c579backed Yes	2c	7,932$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.11	121	37.2%45 W · 76 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	1c	7,705$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.16	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Yes	4c	7,688$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.79	130	46.9%61 W · 69 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	1c	7,593$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.43	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes	1c	6,690$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.52	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-96.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa0…17c7backed Yes	2c	6,501$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.47	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e6…7aa6backed Yes	4c	6,362$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.72	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	6,094$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.43	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes	4c	5,174$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.23	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…19f6backed Yes	2c	4,937$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	6c	4,882$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.56	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	5c	4,776$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.99	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes	4c	4,750$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.99	309	28.8%89 W · 220 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70da…fc5bbacked Yes	5c	4,723$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ab…c5aebacked Yes	4c	4,561$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	2c	4,453$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.95	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	2c	4,200$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.19	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes	3c	4,000$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Yes	5c	3,817$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.8	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe379…d124backed Yes	1c	3,800$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	3,672$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.55	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1145…f4e8backed Yes	1c	3,662$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.25	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+34%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…3e40backed Yes	3c	3,419$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.36	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes	5c	3,356$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.83	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	1c	3,301$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.11	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	5c	3,169$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.9	67	16.4%11 W · 56 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8429…642fbacked Yes	1c	3,140$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.76	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3231…a113backed Yes	3c	3,125$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Yes	3c	3,030$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	99	39.4%39 W · 60 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07ce…db5cbacked Yes	3c	3,013$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.47	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…0667backed Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes	3c	2,934$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.22	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Yes	6c	2,800$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.6	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	2c	2,799$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.38	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes	2c	2,795$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.94	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	3c	2,751$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ccd…1846backed Yes	4c	2,723$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Yes	2c	2,675$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.5	56	21.4%12 W · 44 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c75…978ebacked Yes	4c	2,613$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.4	84	38.1%32 W · 52 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…ab3abacked Yes	2c	2,591$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	2,550$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3f…6d9ebacked Yes	2c	2,548$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.43	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+8.9wins	+0.17per pick	34cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xfef4…29bdbacked Yes	5c	2,491$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.32	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Yes	3c	2,487$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.01	188	37.8%71 W · 117 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17eb…8db2backed Yes	6c	2,407$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes	3c	2,311$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+8.9wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e03…c97bbacked Yes	1c	2,257$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes	2c	2,250$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.25	80	13.8%11 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes	3c	2,241$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4498…078dbacked Yes	3c	2,208$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Yes	1c	2,200$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	260	42.3%110 W · 150 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes	2c	2,100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.9	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32dc…7318backed Yes	6c	2,079$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes	3c	2,007$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c65…3e45backed Yes	2c	2,004$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.07	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.36per pick	7cpaid	+545.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes	1c	2,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f7…0312backed Yes	3c	2,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.99	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes	1c	2,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes	7c	2,000$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	200	17%34 W · 166 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd134…719bbacked Yes	4c	1,979$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.99	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeb8…258bbacked Yes	2c	1,960$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes	2c	1,953$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.05	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes	3c	1,865$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	118	23.7%28 W · 90 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	2c	1,846$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.44	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes	9c	1,786$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.1	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes	7c	1,740$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	3c	1,725$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.03	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes	3c	1,724$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	118	28.8%34 W · 84 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	4c	1,703$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.41	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event