Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96b3985a648e790f3a6bcdf544f92fe490c29944f06711a2fae35cfb3760e5a3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $723,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $284,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $723,374 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	0c	146,411$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.7	152	9.9%15 W · 137 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2f…b61bbacked Yes	0c	128,010$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.02	16	0%0 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	1c	49,541$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.86	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes	0c	25,466$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	197	13.7%27 W · 170 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb5…c5f1backed Yes	1c	19,041$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.07	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x201d…41aabacked Yes	1c	15,898$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.98	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x205b…8edfbacked Yes	0c	14,640$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	1c	14,222$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.18	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x891e…c1c9backed Yes	0c	11,980$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.94	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	0c	11,880$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	0c	10,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	0c	9,962$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.84	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	7,940$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.88	170	5.9%10 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f37…bcd3backed Yes	1c	7,200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes	1c	5,143$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	62	8.1%5 W · 57 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe283…ab3abacked Yes	0c	4,524$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.01	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x331c…974ebacked Yes	1c	3,673$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5962…119bbacked Yes	1c	2,946$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef9…9aeebacked Yes	1c	2,857$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e25…172fbacked Yes	1c	2,235$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	1,717$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.34	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea9…7bf1backed Yes	1c	1,700$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea7…2f3ebacked Yes	1c	1,429$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e1babacked Yes	1c	1,371$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3d…024ebacked Yes	1c	1,260$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	1c	1,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7763…7830backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event