Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9caf777115e4f38eb4e2de7fab3e88052b92a78f161f91db232be31a93d1e3e

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,246,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,415,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,246,503 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9449…d829backed Yes	2c	280,221$4,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,565.78	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes	1c	115,577$1,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.46	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	1c	88,683$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.66	100	12%12 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	3c	68,955$1,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,853.25	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	10c	61,926$6,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,060.42	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa45e…e704backed Yes	1c	51,850$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	1c	51,504$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$682.92	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	11c	49,562$5,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,432.43	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xace7…462abacked Yes	1c	47,745$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.44	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	7c	33,851$2,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,452.44	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	6c	31,235$2,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,025.02	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Yes	7c	30,934$2,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,085	266	44%117 W · 149 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	9c	30,639$2,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,722.17	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	5c	29,999$1,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.94	152	9.9%15 W · 137 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	7c	28,952$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.71	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes	0c	27,577$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.75	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…6486backed Yes	8c	27,299$2,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,157.71	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	7c	26,648$1,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,937.82	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes	13c	25,691$3,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,226.77	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	7c	25,509$1,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,663.43	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Yes	8c	24,910$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.65	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb86b…aabfbacked Yes	1c	24,787$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.26	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	0c	24,677$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.35	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819d…6e9cbacked Yes	2c	21,307$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Yes	2c	20,701$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+6.2wins	+0.15per pick	34cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Yes	20c	20,278$4,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,011.44	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes	13c	20,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Yes	0c	18,728$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.46	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	4c	18,236$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.2	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	4c	17,880$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.21	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8a…e818backed Yes	2c	17,693$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa561…f676backed Yes	9c	17,677$1,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,597.85	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d14…4e26backed Yes	5c	17,640$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.46	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04a…fa0dbacked Yes	11c	17,531$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae0…b4cebacked Yes	5c	17,230$935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$934.65	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Yes	7c	16,726$1,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,227.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	5c	16,622$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.54	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	7c	15,831$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.75	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes	3c	15,830$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.95	150	52%78 W · 72 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ac…2613backed Yes	6c	15,807$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.63	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	10c	15,039$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.02	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Yes	14c	14,929$2,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,071.65	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes	8c	14,498$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.4	179	44.1%79 W · 100 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Yes	0c	14,328$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.66	86	17.4%15 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee2…de75backed Yes	7c	14,220$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.66	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes	0c	13,901$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.18	73	5.5%4 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+212.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes	1c	13,785$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	84	15.5%13 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Yes	15c	13,333$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe563…77efbacked Yes	13c	13,203$1,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,690.19	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	13cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes	8c	13,084$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.72	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes	11c	12,933$1,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,461.39	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+12.8wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes	8c	12,546$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.69	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes	5c	12,538$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.3	43	4.7%2 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-77%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	4c	12,396$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.74	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc632…6871backed Yes	1c	12,324$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	102	40.2%41 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes	5c	12,312$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.21	122	35.2%43 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	1c	12,126$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.63	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb187…0ab8backed Yes	14c	11,826$1,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,663.93	79	40.5%32 W · 47 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes	5c	11,821$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.96	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	6c	11,749$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.65	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9507…7b04backed Yes	15c	11,423$1,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,713.43	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Yes	1c	11,320$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.92	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	11,266$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.67	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9a…ca97backed Yes	1c	11,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	3c	10,945$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.99	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes	12c	10,500$1,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	7c	10,434$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.74	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2f…f3f6backed Yes	1c	10,333$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes	12c	10,330$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,239.62	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	6c	10,282$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.17	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes	7c	10,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	125	56.8%71 W · 54 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Yes	13c	10,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+13.4wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5516…cbf4backed Yes	5c	10,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.06	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Yes	1c	9,839$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes	4c	9,818$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.9	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5449…992bbacked Yes	1c	9,770$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.22	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes	8c	9,721$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.4	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	3c	9,711$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.3	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f9…b9c5backed Yes	5c	9,495$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.56	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes	7c	9,492$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.64	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes	7c	9,338$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.32	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes	6c	9,000$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-96.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	5c	8,974$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.7	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes	7c	8,821$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.91	109	59.6%65 W · 44 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	6c	8,447$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.74	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	8,370$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf21a…4a38backed Yes	7c	8,000$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+4.1wins	+0.23per pick	33cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes	6c	7,977$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.32	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Yes	7c	7,845$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.41	149	45%67 W · 82 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Yes	7c	7,728$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.81	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	6c	7,677$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.08	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	7,506$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.86	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc601…8b44backed Yes	1c	7,500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7541…6d98backed Yes	7c	7,376$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.2	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes	6c	7,304$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.54	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf488…0c6dbacked Yes	14c	7,296$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf75…6141backed Yes	4c	7,173$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.27	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes	11c	7,158$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.6	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f4…df56backed Yes	5c	7,152$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.01	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Yes	14c	7,143$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event