Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0606faf1617005ffacd7776b75c0fa81e251ad5f1f0bcc040acef4c9725d72d4

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $817,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $183,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $817,981 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd123…d341backed Yes	4c	44,617$1,686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,685.7	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	33cpaid	-76%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	1c	37,199$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.49	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes	2c	37,198$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.13	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	2c	35,488$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.54	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	1c	30,873$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.38	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes	1c	29,577$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.85	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	1c	26,000$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.81	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	2c	20,665$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.53	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes	1c	19,158$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.22	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-96.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	0c	18,321$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.95	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x201d…41aabacked Yes	1c	16,971$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.25	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a64…efd5backed Yes	0c	16,667$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes	1c	15,296$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.53	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes	2c	14,374$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.69	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes	4c	12,542$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.23	285	45.3%129 W · 156 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes	1c	10,664$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.64	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	2c	10,235$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.09	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes	1c	9,844$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.94	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+12.8wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x612f…05d8backed Yes	2c	9,642$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	8,597$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.54	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Yes	1c	8,530$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.83	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x281f…3e7ebacked Yes	1c	8,394$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb5…c5f1backed Yes	2c	7,933$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.74	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	0c	7,806$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.46	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43ac…efa9backed Yes	0c	6,975$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.74	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f14…7328backed Yes	1c	6,777$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.88	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes	1c	6,605$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.53	197	13.7%27 W · 170 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes	1c	6,420$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.94	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes	0c	5,934$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-15%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked Yes	3c	5,786$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.94	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1158…0dc0backed Yes	1c	5,721$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes	1c	5,318$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.05	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3e…d8d0backed Yes	4c	5,266$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	2c	5,253$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.12	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddc…2ff3backed Yes	1c	5,245$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf209…3f87backed Yes	1c	5,059$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0067…cfb4backed Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	1c	4,758$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.56	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb83a…7687backed Yes	2c	4,578$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes	1c	4,149$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	131	48.1%63 W · 68 L	+10.6wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d0…a15dbacked Yes	2c	3,880$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db3…c579backed Yes	4c	3,705$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.87	121	37.2%45 W · 76 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Yes	4c	3,594$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	470	29.1%137 W · 333 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed Yes	1c	3,231$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	73	26%19 W · 54 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c7…949cbacked Yes	2c	3,209$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8fc…022bbacked Yes	1c	3,075$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.77	91	29.7%27 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da5…7becbacked Yes	1c	2,997$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b81…17f7backed Yes	2c	2,974$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.55	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc36a…be63backed Yes	3c	2,876$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.15	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Yes	1c	2,860$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	85	27.1%23 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…16b2backed Yes	2c	2,819$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes	1c	2,791$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.74	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes	2c	2,502$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.9	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes	2c	2,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	189	26.5%50 W · 139 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa77c…587ebacked Yes	4c	2,440$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.92	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd064…d9febacked Yes	1c	2,292$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bc…67c3backed Yes	2c	2,273$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976f…ca10backed Yes	2c	2,249$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes	2c	2,249$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.99	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e2…9629backed Yes	1c	2,233$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…06a2backed Yes	3c	2,005$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.18	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc445…19a9backed Yes	1c	2,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes	1c	2,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	1,992$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.39	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes	4c	1,966$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.97	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf4…1b00backed Yes	4c	1,823$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	2c	1,798$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.18	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c3…addabacked Yes	3c	1,717$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	2c	1,663$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.64	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,633$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.31	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	2c	1,610$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.69	170	5.9%10 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5efb…8392backed Yes	3c	1,608$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+48%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	4c	1,537$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.21	512	28.9%148 W · 364 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked Yes	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	2c	1,500$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes	1c	1,455$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	145	50.3%73 W · 72 L	+9.5wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	3c	1,426$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.61	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d2…70a2backed Yes	2c	1,371$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f9…8739backed Yes	2c	1,347$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.37	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea7…2f3ebacked Yes	1c	1,323$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.89	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Yes	2c	1,300$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.7	260	42.3%110 W · 150 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes	2c	1,283$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.64	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc31a…bfb2backed Yes	1c	1,250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb410…56b7backed Yes	4c	1,214$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	127	33.1%42 W · 85 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b4f…057bbacked Yes	4c	1,199$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c18…39e7backed Yes	4c	1,192$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b8…993abacked Yes	2c	1,176$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7a…7721backed Yes	2c	1,167$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2f…9dabbacked Yes	2c	1,160$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6e46…bccbbacked Yes	2c	1,131$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc32b…e139backed Yes	1c	1,106$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes	2c	1,100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd7…047abacked Yes	1c	1,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed1…5c37backed Yes	1c	1,091$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda2e…6cc7backed Yes	2c	1,059$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e3…1b9ebacked Yes	2c	1,053$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	2c	1,027$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x005a…8519backed Yes	1c	1,017$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07d3…a4dfbacked Yes	2c	1,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d84…3578backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	15cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event