TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a64…efd5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT229.1%2 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-59.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.62
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.28
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.97
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$742.7
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+270.4%+$216.4
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$300
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$64.27
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.86
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$126.24
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$97.03
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25.43
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$114.3
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.91
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$70.11
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$198
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$69
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$301.58
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-84.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.71
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.88
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Brazil (-4.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.31
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.49
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.15
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick5cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick10cpaid+188.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$33.94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$102.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.32
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$33.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.