Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d274b15e572ad37e5a48e6ea1b1740db1b2bb9220e5120ad81952212c7317f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manchester City FCof Manchester City FC, Crystal Palace FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Manchester City FC | 30c | 78,952$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,952.04 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…a7dfbacked Crystal Palace FC | 72c | 55,000$39,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,599.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 66cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 25,000$16,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,262.41 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Manchester City FC | 28c | 15,602$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,233.73 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Manchester City FC | 31c | 14,036$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,686.05 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manchester City FC | 32c | 9,595$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,482.52 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Crystal Palace FC | 61c | 9,019$5,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,501.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 8,051$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,515.17 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 6,400$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City FC | 37c | 5,034$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.16 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 4,800$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Manchester City FC | 32c | 4,704$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.06 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 2,800$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 2,400$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 2,368$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.6 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 68c | 2,336$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.1 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Manchester City FC | 30c | 2,333$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.33 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 2,278$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.66 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 2,010$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Crystal Palace FC | 61c | 1,926$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.41 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 55c | 1,589$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.13 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Crystal Palace FC | 80c | 1,255$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Manchester City FC | 30c | 1,163$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.62 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Crystal Palace FC | 60c | 1,090$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.08 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 1,048$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.5 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 1,040$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Crystal Palace FC | 71c | 1,006$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.16 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 912.82$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.82 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 900$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 808.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.94 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Manchester City FC | 33c | 773.65$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.69 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Manchester City FC | 30c | 763.2$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.07 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 692.42$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.9 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Manchester City FC | 30c | 670$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 640$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 624$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 610$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.1 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 609.13$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.59 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Manchester City FC | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Crystal Palace FC | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Crystal Palace FC | 64c | 591.41$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.37 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Crystal Palace FC | 74c | 561.3$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.62 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Manchester City FC | 59c | 527.61$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 517.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.6 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 459.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Manchester City FC | 30c | 444$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.65 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…970ebacked Crystal Palace FC | 12c | 423.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 325.51$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 320$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 320$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 320$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Manchester City FC | 62c | 287.1$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…68c1backed Crystal Palace FC | 61c | 261.3$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 230$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…a7c5backed Manchester City FC | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…6ecebacked Manchester City FC | 30c | 203.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 197$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Crystal Palace FC | 57c | 191.21$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 72c | 172.75$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 160$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City FC | 33c | 152.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Manchester City FC | 30c | 151.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Manchester City FC | 40c | 146.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 145.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…0524backed Crystal Palace FC | 75c | 133.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 130.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Crystal Palace FC | 67c | 124.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Manchester City FC | 33c | 122.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a64…efd5backed Crystal Palace FC | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 118.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Crystal Palace FC | 71c | 113.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…09b8backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 113.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 102.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Manchester City FC | 30c | 100.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…dc65backed Manchester City FC | 30c | 99.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Manchester City FC | 40c | 86.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Crystal Palace FC | 67c | 85.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…dea7backed Crystal Palace FC | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Manchester City FC | 32c | 80.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 76.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Manchester City FC | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c8…6327backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Manchester City FC | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Manchester City FC | 32c | 66.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.