Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18fb41710d5c4ddccabffd7fa5fab8cbb95bc03c3298b50b73d32ecf8772d788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $620,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $622,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 62c | 171,163$106,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,692.95 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Under | 53c | 140,000$73,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,499.92 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 46c | 107,836$49,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,604.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…f741backed Over | 50c | 78,938$39,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Over | 42c | 40,171$16,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,718.12 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 38,924$13,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,666.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 54c | 35,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Under | 50c | 18,674$9,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,337.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 57c | 15,230$8,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,548.69 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 44c | 12,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 54c | 11,501$6,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,210.48 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 43c | 10,146$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,362.78 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 47c | 9,615$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Under | 48c | 7,151$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.35 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 47c | 7,016$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.84 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 53c | 6,038$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Over | 43c | 5,795$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Over | 45c | 5,584$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked Under | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Over | 43c | 5,121$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Over | 44c | 4,778$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 3,780$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.56 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 44c | 3,566$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.78 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Over | 53c | 3,196$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 3,000$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.99 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Under | 50c | 2,896$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 33c | 2,744$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.54 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 2,721$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.67 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 50c | 2,368$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 65c | 2,145$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.66 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…7333backed Under | 50c | 2,055$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 49c | 1,968$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.7 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 53c | 1,889$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed Under | 65c | 1,779$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 41c | 1,609$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.56 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 44c | 1,545$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Under | 53c | 1,538$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.85 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 42c | 1,460$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.14 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 1,437$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.56 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 58c | 1,371$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 1,340$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.8 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Over | 44c | 1,315$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 45c | 1,302$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.81 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 55c | 1,205$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 35c | 1,200$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed Over | 35c | 1,061$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 55c | 1,060$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked Under | 65c | 1,004$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…418fbacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…af0dbacked Under | 51c | 954.02$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…e13abacked Under | 65c | 909$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…2261backed Over | 35c | 891$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked Over | 35c | 888$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Under | 65c | 887$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 34c | 820.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…970ebacked Over | 10c | 817.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…76f4backed Over | 35c | 735$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 718.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.07 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed Under | 65c | 712$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Over | 35c | 711$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Under | 65c | 702$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 53c | 700.92$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.43 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 56c | 667.76$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.17 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Under | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 38c | 657$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 38c | 657$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 37c | 629.98$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed Under | 65c | 626$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…8c30backed Over | 35c | 617$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…be9fbacked Over | 35c | 603$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed Over | 35c | 577$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 46c | 565.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 69c | 537.34$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.94 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked Over | 35c | 536$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 45c | 500.11$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.06 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 49c | 494.78$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.44 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Over | 19c | 475$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Over | 44c | 444.93$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 433.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 48c | 422.75$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…9c87backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 56c | 399.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 59c | 399.49$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 52c | 379.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.29 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Under | 52c | 370.29$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Over | 45c | 369.78$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 48c | 368.34$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 45c | 362.55$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.05 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Under | 59c | 335.44$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…8d45backed Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 46c | 327.5$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.