TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c17,530$6,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,977.636,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…faf3backed Over49c14,295$7,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,290.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d5…d9e0backed Under51c14,295$7,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,290.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over56c5,330$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.995754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under15c2,510$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.478116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7233…f0eabacked Over50c2,214$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caa…fb12backed Under50c1,382$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ce…2edfbacked Under26c1,346$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c1,068$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.954,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over71c1,053$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.751,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Over73c999.99$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2704148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2064…e748backed Under49c975$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+189.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf7f…db83backed Under49c958$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.42540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+55.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed Under50c871$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+122.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3753928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce55…c888backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over70c693.41$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2103…e296backed Over50c688$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc319…6baabacked Over51c669$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.813100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+358.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed Over51c650$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Over51c621$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.292544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over71c616.92$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17641850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c5…dcb1backed Over51c614$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over67c549.43$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.313644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d1…b2efbacked Over50c549$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+97.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe590…87bfbacked Under50c533$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.838949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over66c429$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.862955.2%16 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aba…94aebacked Over78c416.67$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.671457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under16c408.79$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4510634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Over69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1241361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+72%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd1b…b9c4backed Under41c331.43$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1371241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over52c326.92$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9217161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over63c311.27$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7116024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under33c306.15$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.032650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8635347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under29c278.04$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8533751.3%173 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under14c251.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2759847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…a152backed Under50c243$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…83e5backed Under50c233$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under27c222.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2520425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad8…9756backed Under50c212$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under25c210.49$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.478441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under31c209.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6512652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under32c206.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Over67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over43c185.81$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0622744.1%100 W · 127 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6b…b79ebacked Over76c184.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa470…5283backed Over68c168.4$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.891323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over68c157.35$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.352347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under44c153.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.634445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over63c150.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.91650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked Over75c141.05$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.81366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under30c133.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2781053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over72c109.45$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1136545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under29c108.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9422645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over63c106.35$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.351662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011533.9%39 W · 76 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9e…53c2backed Over70c97.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.14757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over56c92.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.865757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3655955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over69c78.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.318442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.433450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.138959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf6d…fc98backed Over67c74.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.634557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over70c71.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.329957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over70c70.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.212147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under20c66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0118842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over73c65.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6320864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd25a…7f71backed Under30c65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under31c63.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7877336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Under32c62.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011446.5%53 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Over72c59.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84266.7%28 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Over67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.72572%18 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Over70c56.27$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.881758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under28c55.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7511652.6%61 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over51c55.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4111053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9ba…ce43backed Over63c55.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.29757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…6a57backed Over71c54.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.841968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3325057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.022347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdec1…efe6backed Over69c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over68c50.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.151250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e90…0bd0backed Over69c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over68c48.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6527955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under44c48.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1337342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.