Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacc68564c909bd72553a23bcb4bf2782837c1f825f45257e68039a673453b458

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Manchester City FCof Manchester City FC, Crystal Palace FC
Resolved: May 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $174,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $226,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,219 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Manchester City FC	52c	48,222$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,222.02	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Crystal Palace FC	48c	30,000$14,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,430	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Manchester City FC	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,800	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Crystal Palace FC	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,799.99	160	40.6%65 W · 95 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Manchester City FC	63c	15,976$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,975.88	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Crystal Palace FC	38c	7,352$2,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,791.13	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Crystal Palace FC	44c	6,762$2,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,950.13	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Crystal Palace FC	48c	6,400$3,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,072	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Manchester City FC	57c	5,494$3,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,362.18	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Manchester City FC	52c	4,738$2,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,276.89	176	34.1%60 W · 116 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Crystal Palace FC	48c	4,595$2,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,205.64	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79bd…5c31backed Crystal Palace FC	43c	3,431$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,475.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Crystal Palace FC	37c	2,368$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.16	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Crystal Palace FC	50c	2,200$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095.6	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Manchester City FC	51c	2,162$1,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,059.38	98	59.2%58 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Crystal Palace FC	37c	2,138$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.08	152	55.9%85 W · 67 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Crystal Palace FC	48c	1,600$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768	170	62.4%106 W · 64 L	+13.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Crystal Palace FC	43c	1,401$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.92	1,208	42.2%510 W · 698 L	-27.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Manchester City FC	58c	1,400$812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Crystal Palace FC	48c	1,200$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576	121	57%69 W · 52 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Crystal Palace FC	48c	1,149$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.33	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Crystal Palace FC	48c	1,040$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.2	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Manchester City FC	49c	916.26$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.29	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Manchester City FC	62c	800.91$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.91	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Crystal Palace FC	49c	800$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	553	51.9%287 W · 266 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Crystal Palace FC	27c	793.1$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.85	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Crystal Palace FC	48c	694.36$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.18	146	58.2%85 W · 61 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Crystal Palace FC	44c	680.98$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+10.3wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Crystal Palace FC	38c	659$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.76	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Crystal Palace FC	48c	640$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.2	143	54.5%78 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Crystal Palace FC	43c	589.28$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.31	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Manchester City FC	51c	500$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.5	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Manchester City FC	52c	470.28$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.93	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Manchester City FC	45c	459.91$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.95	59	22%13 W · 46 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Crystal Palace FC	40c	450$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.3	192	44.8%86 W · 106 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Crystal Palace FC	42c	442.45$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.27	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Crystal Palace FC	46c	441.53$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.05	1,589	53.3%847 W · 742 L	+39.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Manchester City FC	62c	410.42$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.96	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Crystal Palace FC	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Crystal Palace FC	43c	394$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.45	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4529…d10abacked Manchester City FC	57c	352.2$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.2	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Manchester City FC	62c	339$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.38	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Manchester City FC	45c	334.08$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.08	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83f6…62f8backed Manchester City FC	61c	321.59$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.88	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Crystal Palace FC	48c	320$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.6	105	58.1%61 W · 44 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Crystal Palace FC	37c	320$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.4	72	61.1%44 W · 28 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Manchester City FC	49c	300$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.55	179	59.8%107 W · 72 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Manchester City FC	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Crystal Palace FC	44c	300$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.98	172	44.2%76 W · 96 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Crystal Palace FC	50c	299.99$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.1	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Crystal Palace FC	52c	289.37$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Crystal Palace FC	39c	256.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Manchester City FC	49c	250$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.5	168	58.3%98 W · 70 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Manchester City FC	50c	249.97$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.48	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Manchester City FC	61c	245.61$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.79	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Manchester City FC	80c	243.28$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.45	772	36.4%281 W · 491 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Crystal Palace FC	38c	240$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.72	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Manchester City FC	54c	221.98$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.22	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Manchester City FC	50c	213.81$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.69	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Manchester City FC	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Manchester City FC	62c	209.68$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.68	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Crystal Palace FC	52c	206.63$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.45	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Manchester City FC	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Manchester City FC	50c	197.95$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.98	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Crystal Palace FC	48c	193.19$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.12	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.22per pick	50cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Crystal Palace FC	49c	190$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.1	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-36%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Manchester City FC	53c	184.91$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.91	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Manchester City FC	55c	181.84$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.84	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Manchester City FC	56c	179.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.86	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Manchester City FC	62c	168.27$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.11	964	45.4%438 W · 526 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Crystal Palace FC	48c	160$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	114	57%65 W · 49 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed Manchester City FC	63c	158.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.85	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Crystal Palace FC	48c	155.92$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Crystal Palace FC	43c	153.81$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.63	144	63.2%91 W · 53 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a4…3c66backed Manchester City FC	57c	150$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.65	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.23per pick	64cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Manchester City FC	62c	147.93$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.33	224	43.8%98 W · 126 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Manchester City FC	52c	144.9$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.9	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Crystal Palace FC	43c	136.58$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.6	158	58.2%92 W · 66 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Crystal Palace FC	55c	127.1$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.2	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Crystal Palace FC	43c	117.31$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.97	150	46%69 W · 81 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Crystal Palace FC	43c	104.65$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x422d…98b7backed Manchester City FC	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Manchester City FC	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.8	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-4.4wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-20%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Manchester City FC	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Crystal Palace FC	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9bf…e5d8backed Manchester City FC	58c	99$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.58	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Crystal Palace FC	51c	97.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Manchester City FC	51c	93.41$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.78	279	55.9%156 W · 123 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e6…ef53backed Manchester City FC	50c	91.72$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Manchester City FC	57c	87.4$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.55	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Manchester City FC	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcba…04ddbacked Manchester City FC	61c	82.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.37	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e4…4d8cbacked Manchester City FC	62c	80.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	60	68.3%41 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Crystal Palace FC	50c	80.16$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Crystal Palace FC	48c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	655	57.7%378 W · 277 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6464…7899backed Crystal Palace FC	55c	80$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Manchester City FC	71c	79.62$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.24	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Crystal Palace FC	38c	77.36$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe82c…cc70backed Manchester City FC	51c	77.14$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.81	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.24per pick	42cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Crystal Palace FC	43c	74.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.04	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event