TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,627 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes56c20,791$11,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,642.984250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c7,352$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,967.044,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c7,208$3,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,645.856,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No44c5,711$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,198.1216848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x184f…a48fbacked Yes16c2,708$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89ce…2edfbacked No46c2,623$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.041540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa347…2a40backed Yes27c2,227$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.53728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0cb…ab6abacked No61c2,036$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f2…6a72backed No78c1,707$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes36c1,639$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.9920140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9c…b418backed No76c1,486$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f6…bb1ebacked No67c1,426$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes16c1,251$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.16540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22f2…90d7backed No76c1,246$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-78.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcac…f545backed Yes16c1,235$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-73%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fd…a3e1backed No77c1,198$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes57c1,154$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6552748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c86…b75ebacked Yes16c1,133$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968f…a539backed Yes16c1,112$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04e…376abacked No47c1,043$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes24c1,015$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead6…911fbacked Yes16c1,004$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5507433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes46c961.83$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.310634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No44c960.94$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.1341850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x612d…3fd1backed Yes16c935$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0278…00e6backed Yes16c933$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…4456backed Yes16c918$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684c…93dfbacked Yes40c895.09$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2756…42efbacked Yes16c893$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8840%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3087…f8fbbacked Yes16c893$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.88333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed Yes24c843$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e8…ac57backed Yes16c795$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43c9…47c1backed No76c791$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc771…e858backed Yes16c771$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc2…40d7backed Yes16c768$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No44c754.42$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.4822146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2e…e025backed Yes24c751$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74b8…0c87backed Yes16c745$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb25…5b6bbacked No70c734$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed Yes31c717$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…9416backed Yes16c715$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+103.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes55c714.01$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.224742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes24c711$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.64333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a7…afb5backed Yes39c696$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2de8…293cbacked Yes16c685$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x217e…09debacked No69c678$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.18366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No52c672.49$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.7922644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95e8…6f21backed Yes31c671$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa1…eb3abacked Yes16c662$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x722f…f17fbacked No69c661$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd7a…7887backed No52c649.95$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.482250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ccb…6c69backed Yes16c642$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.72333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes16c627$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d5…2e11backed Yes16c615$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.440%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6702…0051backed Yes16c610$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid+3.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Yes49c609.22$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed Yes23c608$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…115ebacked Yes39c598$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb18…2372backed Yes23c590$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+116.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb212…0f8ebacked Yes16c563$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.08520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid+30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c2…1be5backed Yes16c562$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x965d…7773backed Yes16c544$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.04650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+71.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Yes53c543.18$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde45…8238backed Yes16c541$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x252c…391abacked Yes16c539$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+135.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes16c513$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3de…5339backed Yes16c502$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed Yes16c499$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3143…cd52backed No67c432$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick57cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed No47c421.28$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.288350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed No45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.335271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde6b…fae0backed No46c329.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.37333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea7…2550backed Yes16c317$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7250%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No56c273.83$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4937342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes20c250.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+88.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No42c247.39$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes59c245.82$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes43c240.1$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2482763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No55c239.19$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.131,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No57c235$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes42c229.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5323632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked Yes24c206$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes40c205$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…f481backed Yes48c201.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.673828.9%11 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes17c201$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x755e…7b04backed Yes17c199$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x506a…1b43backed Yes17c195$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ff…18acbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed No69c180$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.81450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d81…c50fbacked Yes56c179.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6587…4f63backed Yes24c179$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Yes56c161.95$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.631637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No53c159.68$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bbc…90d5backed Yes41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes44c134.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.946642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes55c132.96$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1327752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.