TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x722f…f17f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.3
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+298.4%+$60.67
Will Mark Daignault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$137.67
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$85.89
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$217.2
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$85.02
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.02
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.76
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$176.7
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.63
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$79.2
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$78.82
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$279.51
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$60.02
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$169.28
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$48.99
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$69.42
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$77.83
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$79.08
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$182.29
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.75
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.72
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.73
Will 'Wuthering Heights' debut week album sales be less than 75k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$98.82
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+242%+$1,016.79
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$187.2
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$247.65
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$38.34
Will Britt Lower (Severance) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$57.2
Will Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$138.93
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+284.6%+$142.82
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$96.96
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.92
Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.44
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+88.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.01
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.1
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.52
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$64.8
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$262.24
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.72
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$338.49
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$23.7
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$313.17
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+292.1%+$575.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$182.52
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.42
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$727.26
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$107.55
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.04
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.04
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$110.23
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.09
Will there be 13 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$106.02
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$719.1
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$160.36
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+733.3%+$278.08
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+95.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$234.36
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+525%+$455.28
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$747.32
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$301.56
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$403.42
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$89.11
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$148.33
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$253.55
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$141.68
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$224.94
Will the US strike Syria next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$232.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.72
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$157.29
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$339.3
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.09
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$45.2
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.64
Will FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$71.7
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$159.3
Will André Ventura win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$86.4
Will Luís Marques Mendes win more than 26% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$98.54
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+222.6%+$501.63
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$270.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs suspended this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.78
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$159.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.47
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$490.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+488.2%+$201.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BNB dip to $600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,065.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$317.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$152.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.