Movies · resolved market
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14e65f1181ba579190fe35a259f238dbf419435fcdcdf3f7aeba9104c3f7c820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 61c | 2,275$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.51 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 65c | 1,684$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.9 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 67c | 1,557$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.28 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 78c | 1,199$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 52c | 1,015$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.95 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 63c | 921$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.12 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 2c | 796.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 42c | 380.02$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.57 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…1b82backed No | 9c | 318.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 36c | 317.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.84 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 28c | 240.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 61c | 218.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked Yes | 20c | 205$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…a457backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 13c | 154.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked No | 8c | 149$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked No | 74c | 135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6cd5backed No | 80c | 133$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…84bebacked No | 79c | 129$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 30c | 126.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…4d86backed Yes | 21c | 112$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 66c | 109.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…cd9abacked No | 51c | 106.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 57c | 87.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…72f1backed Yes | 80c | 75.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…8f4bbacked No | 80c | 67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…560abacked Yes | 21c | 56.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…fbb5backed Yes | 32c | 55.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…e93dbacked Yes | 26c | 51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…7350backed Yes | 65c | 50.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a2…f8ecbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 26c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 60c | 42.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb56…ebdcbacked Yes | 52c | 39.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…3ff1backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?this page
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?No won
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?No won
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?No won
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.