Movies · resolved market
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54a39c20bcbcdd28a487b455c06158d7d292dd67d479e0266858a0fd827dcd37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 73c | 2,195$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 11c | 730.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…c88dbacked Yes | 17c | 682.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 624.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9f19backed Yes | 5c | 549.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Yes | 30c | 414.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked Yes | 6c | 353.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 315.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb56…ebdcbacked Yes | 19c | 292.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 12c | 218$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…a457backed No | 68c | 214.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 73c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…1317backed No | 69c | 144.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked No | 71c | 142$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…b46ebacked Yes | 29c | 138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 30c | 127$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…f991backed Yes | 29c | 123$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326e…c7b9backed Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…88adbacked No | 71c | 115$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed No | 71c | 114$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked Yes | 16c | 106$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 67c | 103.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed Yes | 28c | 101$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f32…7b50backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…b341backed No | 72c | 79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…104ebacked Yes | 31c | 77.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…53dcbacked No | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…6ff5backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…6f74backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…9724backed Yes | 33c | 51.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…d68ebacked No | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked Yes | 29c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…6232backed Yes | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9880…82d6backed No | 69c | 43.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 73c | 40.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…e109backed Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 36.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…601abacked No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 39c | 28.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 22.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?this page
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?No won
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?No won
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?Yes won
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.