Movies · resolved market
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b3b58a006396b238513c1dc6ede0782078cc7233c7c5a4ebb56ca6790aa90a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3000…0d25backed Yes | 9c | 3,536$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 13c | 1,843$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.42 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9880…82d6backed Yes | 17c | 1,494$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 3c | 1,230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 12c | 1,100$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…a437backed Yes | 20c | 709.74$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Yes | 11c | 435.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 3c | 404.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 7c | 361.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Yes | 12c | 350.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 77c | 315.72$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 19c | 182.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…1b6cbacked Yes | 8c | 182.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…e93dbacked Yes | 20c | 149$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 13c | 113.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 11c | 109.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed Yes | 14c | 101.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 13c | 97.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 13c | 86.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…4a6dbacked Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ff…2275backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?this page
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?No won
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?No won
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?Yes won
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.