Movies · resolved market
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9446d708f46b2fdeb524562440bdd7b20b731c21a1b8aa69b6f6c2c1e5395fac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 3,207$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 26c | 3,042$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.45 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed No | 74c | 2,985$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.42 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 4c | 1,561$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 18c | 999.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…a437backed Yes | 23c | 762.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 13c | 634.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 80c | 435.89$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 24c | 299.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…aa3cbacked No | 67c | 278$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…0d25backed Yes | 27c | 277.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed Yes | 33c | 241$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed Yes | 31c | 238$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 31c | 235.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked No | 78c | 198$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…a220backed Yes | 22c | 198$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb56…ebdcbacked Yes | 23c | 175$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…c3ddbacked Yes | 19c | 154$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked No | 69c | 152$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x326e…c7b9backed No | 71c | 146$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5a…4cc4backed Yes | 14c | 144.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 22c | 129.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 80c | 128.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 76c | 118$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 18c | 115.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 106.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 24c | 103$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 20c | 97.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 85.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 29c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9880…82d6backed Yes | 26c | 77.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d82…3d02backed No | 69c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked Yes | 16c | 73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…fbb5backed Yes | 25c | 66.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 73c | 63.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…d172backed No | 77c | 63.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…e93dbacked Yes | 31c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…e480backed Yes | 20c | 54.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…1d97backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…dc0bbacked Yes | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 38.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…9dd3backed No | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…861bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?this page
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?No won
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?Yes won
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?No won
- Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.