TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3214…f00e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Movies, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.2
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.98
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$211.37
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$52.32
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.9%+$30.05
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$31.75
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+186.8%+$40.38
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+32.7%+$10.35
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.16
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+150%+$18.6
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$349.44
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$46.41
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$29.25
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$90.25
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59.52
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$28.86
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.2
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+222.6%+$66.93
Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$43.4
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$93.69
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$137.72
Will "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$30.42
Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$72.42
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+376.2%+$233.05
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+37%+$39.15
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56%+$19.39
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.69
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.29
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$62.14
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.4
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$65.54
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$84.94
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.18
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.04
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+139.8%+$135.27
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.74
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$73.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST147.1%1 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.38per pick45cpaid-81.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$157.76
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.91
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$44.44
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+156.4%+$480.07
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38.56
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$52.65
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.14
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$192.8
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.68
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18.45
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$54.51
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$54.67
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.12
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.75
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+284.6%+$253.08
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+69.9%+$69.1
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+171.3%+$71.98
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.77
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+669.2%+$97.44
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$55.72
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.59
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+177.8%+$25.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.1
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.84
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.52
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+270.4%+$146
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$31.71
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.86
Will Sam Altman say "Silicon Valley" or "Nerd" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25.7%+$34.11
Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$155.55
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$113.94
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+100%+$14
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+143.9%+$23.01
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.2
Will Ciucu win by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$41.82
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$20.16
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+194.1%+$58.74
Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+168.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+168.1%+$37.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$264.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.