Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d7f8adc4b8bbfca4febd66dcb0267f63fe02c01ba12478df99816b75850cbe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 9c | 8,617$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.34 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…6471backed Yes | 56c | 4,439$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.93 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…be27backed Yes | 48c | 3,777$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…6ea2backed Yes | 58c | 3,214$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.09 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 77c | 3,027$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.21 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…6459backed No | 1c | 3,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 0c | 2,876$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,696$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 48c | 2,110$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.75 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 1,753$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 30c | 1,577$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.3 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 52c | 1,510$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.86 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,392$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.5 | 280 | 34.3%96 W · 184 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 56c | 1,370$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.87 | 140 | 15.7%22 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 40c | 1,326$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.16 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…642abacked No | 42c | 1,196$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.01 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +71%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…c74abacked No | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2216…4accbacked Yes | 34c | 972$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +179%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes | 11c | 961.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.04 | 519 | 8.3%43 W · 476 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 5c | 906.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 434 | 5.1%22 W · 412 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 3c | 900$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 182 | 4.9%9 W · 173 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No | 17c | 874.44$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 37c | 874.17$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.43 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 828.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 2c | 799.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 279 | 4.7%13 W · 266 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…1632backed Yes | 69c | 762.83$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.27 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…e6d4backed Yes | 62c | 755.51$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…a8a9backed Yes | 26c | 714.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.8 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 3c | 702.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 261 | 5.4%14 W · 247 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 31c | 693.03$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.93 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…558bbacked Yes | 51c | 654.8$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.41 | 181 | 23.8%43 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x925f…b89ebacked Yes | 27c | 643.8$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +272.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…d618backed No | 9c | 629.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 19c | 607.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 61c | 602.92$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 38c | 602.08$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.64 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 57c | 588$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 52c | 525.84$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.43 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Yes | 57c | 522.88$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e4…28aabacked Yes | 52c | 502.31$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.82 | 67 | 6%4 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 20c | 500$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +190%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 69c | 498.8$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…721fbacked Yes | 5c | 490$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.82 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 62c | 483.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…2a55backed Yes | 73c | 482.32$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 46c | 470.71$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c6…b9a7backed Yes | 20c | 464.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.49 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…5d6dbacked Yes | 46c | 430$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed Yes | 74c | 428.33$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…ea64backed Yes | 49c | 417.68$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 43c | 399.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 262 | 24%63 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…9f8fbacked Yes | 49c | 393.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.72 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…4c7abacked No | 51c | 392.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d86fbacked No | 48c | 349.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…d36dbacked Yes | 65c | 317.24$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked No | 29c | 313.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 45c | 304$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…2d98backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 67c | 298$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed No | 34c | 296.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 486 | 9.7%47 W · 439 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 49c | 293.08$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f4…66e6backed No | 7c | 291.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…cb97backed Yes | 59c | 276.02$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…9374backed Yes | 73c | 273.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…f975backed Yes | 71c | 268.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…1370backed Yes | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fed…85cdbacked Yes | 65c | 235.86$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 49c | 233.82$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 571 | 8.2%47 W · 524 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…e29abacked Yes | 53c | 232$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…956bbacked Yes | 25c | 223.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 479 | 8.6%41 W · 438 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked Yes | 50c | 220.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…c6b1backed Yes | 42c | 220.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…34d9backed No | 33c | 219.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e3…b2dfbacked Yes | 78c | 210.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…92c6backed Yes | 22c | 205$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.98 | 109 | 14.7%16 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa9…99c1backed Yes | 71c | 203.52$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb1…17d7backed Yes | 63c | 201.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…5937backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b7…1e4abacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 5c | 199.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…3793backed Yes | 70c | 198.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 31c | 198.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked Yes | 5c | 197.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…b427backed Yes | 64c | 187.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…3fd0backed No | 53c | 186.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 31c | 179.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…f499backed No | 51c | 175.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ec…b9adbacked Yes | 60c | 165.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…069abacked Yes | 61c | 162.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…b978backed Yes | 14c | 157.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +258.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…613abacked Yes | 56c | 151.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 12c | 144.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…b46ebacked Yes | 53c | 143$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 11c | 140.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…1bcbbacked No | 14c | 139.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf446…1ca2backed Yes | 59c | 139.31$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8e7backed Yes | 37c | 137.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed No | 52c | 137$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed No | 63c | 137$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…99adbacked Yes | 57c | 136.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in December 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in December 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.