AI · resolved market
Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99a4aafed04e4ba153de4406318652e82f8cb45b66a22693c9b31a6a4585f7ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,981$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,174$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…d609backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 8c | 704$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…4d44backed Yes | 3c | 659.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 3c | 638$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 3c | 469.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 65c | 363$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed Yes | 5c | 348$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked No | 68c | 335.9$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 5c | 288.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed Yes | 16c | 263$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 29c | 262.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 9c | 260$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed No | 76c | 247$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 34c | 208$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb890…a592backed Yes | 8c | 201$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…f815backed Yes | 35c | 198$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…0c79backed No | 68c | 190$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…84bebacked Yes | 9c | 185$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed Yes | 32c | 178$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…9ea8backed Yes | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +479.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked Yes | 35c | 165$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 16c | 161$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 77c | 139.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 16c | 135$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 32c | 115$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 112$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa926…bfc8backed Yes | 11c | 103.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked No | 68c | 101.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…0762backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 28c | 98.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 16c | 98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 16c | 93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 13c | 80.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 76.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…77febacked Yes | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?this page
- Will Amazon acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?No won
- Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes won
- Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?No won
- Will no acquisition occur by May 31 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.