World Politics · resolved market
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc61bf8c7523a0042828b6b62093c0dc9929d291a87f27d910b6087ebf52f1a7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d57…caeebacked Yes | 52c | 720.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 71c | 575$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 47c | 525.45$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.96 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 55c | 386.09$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.56 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…a152backed Yes | 45c | 378$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 53c | 353$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 45c | 345.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.53 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed No | 59c | 262$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 47c | 261$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 53c | 244$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 26c | 209$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked No | 74c | 202$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 14c | 195.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…ac3dbacked Yes | 41c | 187$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed Yes | 47c | 186$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 53c | 182$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed Yes | 45c | 178$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed No | 59c | 171$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…c3ddbacked Yes | 46c | 170$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…59d2backed No | 55c | 165$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed No | 51c | 149$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…cb56backed No | 54c | 145$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…cdfabacked Yes | 41c | 144.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 9c | 143$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Yes | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 9c | 140$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…351ebacked Yes | 49c | 134.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed No | 59c | 130$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…3e62backed No | 58c | 126$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 74c | 121$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked No | 55c | 113$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 42c | 110.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed No | 55c | 109$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed No | 55c | 104$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…e29abacked Yes | 41c | 103$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c0…35f8backed Yes | 45c | 96.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d82…3d02backed Yes | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…84bebacked Yes | 45c | 85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked Yes | 26c | 79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…f991backed Yes | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 51c | 73.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 54c | 73.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…bf21backed Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked Yes | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 44c | 67.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked No | 55c | 67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 45c | 66.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 55c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed Yes | 45c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…4018backed Yes | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…01cfbacked No | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 53c | 43.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…29fdbacked Yes | 47c | 42.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +232.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf223…cc08backed No | 55c | 39.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed No | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +288.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…c9f4backed No | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…a220backed No | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…2923backed No | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…ccb4backed Yes | 49c | 21.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230e…abc0backed No | 59c | 20.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cătălin Drulă get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?this page
- Will Cătălin Drulă get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?No won
- Will Cătălin Drulă get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?No won
- Will Cătălin Drulă get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?No won
- Will Cătălin Drulă get between 5% and 10% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?-fkEWNo won
- Will Cătălin Drulă get less than 5% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.