World Politics · resolved market
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f3ec78825d87d0412b8f5668989a9547da4d167667cf2e04828a995e40a5fbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked No | 23c | 13,169$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.99 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 75c | 12,542$9,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.64 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 3c | 8,589$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.51 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 5c | 6,129$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.74 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb444…ba4dbacked No | 10c | 3,396$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed No | 32c | 3,330$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.71 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 6c | 2,693$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…b0fabacked No | 11c | 2,436$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…7127backed No | 5c | 2,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 3c | 1,997$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cc…ced0backed No | 5c | 1,930$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07a…41c1backed No | 10c | 1,795$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 5c | 1,728$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 5c | 1,575$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed No | 1c | 1,431$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…6e4ebacked No | 11c | 1,416$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 5c | 1,365$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab29…f817backed No | 10c | 1,323$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…7422backed No | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…cb16backed No | 11c | 1,188$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3f…4e07backed No | 3c | 1,111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff0…6f82backed No | 11c | 1,040$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 4c | 990.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 917.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 911.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…4bf5backed No | 11c | 896$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 4c | 861.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…8ec9backed Yes | 66c | 861$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 3c | 850.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…0716backed No | 5c | 837.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 5c | 815.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 812.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed No | 25c | 810.18$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.17 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 4c | 791$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 11c | 786.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 19c | 782.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 5c | 750$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 4c | 724.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 716.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…973dbacked Yes | 56c | 714.83$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…7ac6backed No | 10c | 713$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 6c | 681$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 3c | 661.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed No | 35c | 641$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 18c | 629.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…d223backed No | 5c | 613.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 5c | 604.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…67b8backed No | 10c | 533$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…48b7backed No | 10c | 525$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…3df2backed No | 2c | 523.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…759ebacked No | 2c | 522.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…12f4backed No | 10c | 521$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d10…0ffcbacked No | 10c | 514$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed No | 34c | 503$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 65c | 493$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 62c | 489$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…2c0ebacked No | 4c | 486.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…1bb6backed No | 10c | 484$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…eaedbacked No | 7c | 462.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 6c | 462.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked No | 34c | 453$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed No | 65c | 449$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 3c | 439.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…827bbacked Yes | 65c | 426$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 74c | 423$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 65c | 423$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 35c | 410$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…3432backed No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 5c | 395.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 11c | 388.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 26c | 378$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 3c | 373.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…1bf5backed No | 3c | 369.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 8c | 339.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 10c | 338.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 27c | 334$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Yes | 35c | 332$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 14c | 327.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 35c | 308$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 8c | 307.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 5c | 294.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 5c | 294.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 33c | 292.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.74 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 24c | 291$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 5c | 289.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 30c | 288.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…5627backed No | 7c | 286.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 8c | 286.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…6279backed Yes | 66c | 280$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes | 65c | 277$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…1dcfbacked Yes | 61c | 276$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…72f6backed No | 21c | 270$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 28c | 270$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 30c | 262$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 13c | 259.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 5c | 259.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?this page
- Will Bae June-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
- Will Chung Il-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
- Will Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
- Will Lee Hak-jae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
- Will Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
- Will Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
- Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
- Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.