World Politics · resolved market
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45d06878c8e37b634909a2216e1d765f88e7f6f3a0cdb7d2c86984543a0ba2cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,076,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,007,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,076,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 800 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9527…c04cbacked Yes | 17c | 14,453$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcf…b6e0backed Yes | 4c | 11,069$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…d4dcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 5cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…49c5backed Yes | 4c | 8,007$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…a00bbacked Yes | 4c | 7,922$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ec…c895backed Yes | 4c | 7,496$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea6…d98abacked Yes | 4c | 7,381$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77df…8441backed Yes | 4c | 6,076$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…347dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,948$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…0ddfbacked Yes | 5c | 5,663$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…13fdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,536$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +338.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…fd17backed Yes | 4c | 5,189$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6574…6819backed Yes | 4c | 4,483$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b38…acb1backed Yes | 4c | 4,468$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…e670backed Yes | 4c | 4,409$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 4,355$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.42 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…a6dbbacked Yes | 4c | 4,236$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…48b7backed Yes | 5c | 4,214$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf577…029abacked Yes | 4c | 4,195$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbb…2811backed Yes | 4c | 4,141$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…f2cebacked Yes | 4c | 4,141$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…17a4backed Yes | 4c | 4,125$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…ef6cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,066$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38da…e664backed Yes | 4c | 4,039$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…9f7cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,007$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…53ecbacked Yes | 5c | 3,995$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…aa20backed Yes | 5c | 3,995$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeac…8d68backed Yes | 4c | 3,960$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…575bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,945$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf514…311ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,929$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d6…81f9backed Yes | 4c | 3,911$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…7d41backed Yes | 4c | 3,908$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…12b9backed Yes | 4c | 3,904$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Yes | 6c | 3,799$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…d181backed Yes | 4c | 3,788$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…1591backed Yes | 4c | 3,767$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ce…c59cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,682$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4eabbacked Yes | 4c | 3,667$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +263.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x627d…a51abacked Yes | 4c | 3,647$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…759ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,618$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3f…038dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,548$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e2…1fcdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,344$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,188$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x552f…70a6backed Yes | 4c | 3,069$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…2c0ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f2…5bbebacked Yes | 2c | 2,930$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…866dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,911$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063e…c55bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,847$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…f617backed Yes | 4c | 2,752$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…0300backed Yes | 4c | 2,733$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18cc…93edbacked Yes | 4c | 2,714$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…15f8backed Yes | 5c | 2,675$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…1504backed Yes | 4c | 2,658$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e1…332ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,649$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979e…e7d7backed Yes | 4c | 2,625$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d6…572bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…d487backed Yes | 5c | 2,597$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…6bffbacked Yes | 4c | 2,579$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +390.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…ef29backed Yes | 5c | 2,559$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfc…e436backed Yes | 3c | 2,540$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +901.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…48b0backed Yes | 5c | 2,511$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…616ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,494$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5f…462abacked Yes | 4c | 2,457$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbc…0680backed Yes | 4c | 2,457$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…7127backed Yes | 4c | 2,435$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813c…f6d3backed Yes | 5c | 2,328$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…f00ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,307$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 4c | 2,246$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16b…2507backed Yes | 4c | 2,201$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…d908backed Yes | 4c | 2,201$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…ac67backed Yes | 4c | 2,181$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…7c3cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,181$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c5…2a25backed Yes | 5c | 2,180$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…5d99backed Yes | 5c | 2,178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb42…becabacked Yes | 4c | 2,178$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…74d8backed Yes | 4c | 2,169$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8a…b1f9backed Yes | 4c | 2,169$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…51b9backed Yes | 4c | 2,161$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…c53cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,161$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…15c3backed Yes | 5c | 2,160$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…facbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,135$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…d767backed Yes | 4c | 2,132$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314f…8d80backed Yes | 4c | 2,132$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…ae4ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,118$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…f3c9backed Yes | 4c | 2,097$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…68c3backed Yes | 4c | 2,095$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…6e1dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,095$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…bcbdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,072$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…4c02backed Yes | 4c | 2,072$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…faccbacked Yes | 4c | 2,071$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…8332backed Yes | 4c | 2,068$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…a259backed Yes | 4c | 2,068$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc784…f347backed Yes | 4c | 2,066$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c2…0cf7backed Yes | 4c | 2,047$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…d2d2backed Yes | 4c | 2,047$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…ab45backed Yes | 4c | 2,041$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…65b0backed Yes | 4c | 2,041$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c0…0db5backed Yes | 4c | 2,032$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a7…b540backed Yes | 4c | 2,022$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?this page
- Will Bae June-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
- Will Chung Il-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
- Will Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
- Will Lee Hak-jae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
- Will Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
- Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.