TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5322…95e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Movies at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.14
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.22
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.6
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$339.2
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.88
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$142.29
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+420.8%+$159.98
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.55
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$214.06
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.75
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$99
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.56
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$795.32
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.36
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$102.93
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$453.62
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$40.32
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$296.53
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$282
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+52.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.24
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.25
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$80.96
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.31
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+295.2%+$1,474.54
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.22
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.84
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$82.07
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-70.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.5
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.07
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.9
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.4
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.26
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$101.04
Will "One Battle After Another" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$155.5
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$428.93
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$122
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.52
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.02
Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.14
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.56
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$129.26
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.68
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$246.09
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$95.42
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$183.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.17
KHL: HC Sochi vs. CSKA Moscowbacked HC Sochi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$321.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$200.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$322.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Blackburn Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.