NBA · resolved market
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b74dc0c578dd2d5ac066b98d4a8849995240003c921b44558fe9f06400f1c55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf574…5e3ebacked No | 55c | 37,585$20,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,913.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446c…82dabacked Yes | 45c | 37,526$16,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,886.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 7c | 6,633$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.31 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 45c | 3,626$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.59 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed No | 57c | 2,914$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…0d05backed No | 66c | 2,614$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 60c | 2,410$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.07 | 605 | 49.8%301 W · 304 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes | 31c | 2,181$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.15 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 9c | 1,618$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed No | 66c | 1,488$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 22c | 1,394$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.78 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 25c | 1,301$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,181$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed No | 68c | 1,088$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.47 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…3a93backed No | 79c | 1,079$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 67c | 1,062$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.46 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked No | 67c | 1,030$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed Yes | 33c | 1,027$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.78 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…b5fdbacked No | 72c | 972$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 33c | 957$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.76 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed No | 70c | 924$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 75c | 908$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed No | 66c | 863$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.42 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked Yes | 31c | 862$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 69c | 849$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.53 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed Yes | 30c | 825$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 70c | 822$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes | 30c | 801$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 67c | 789$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 67c | 768.78$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.43 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 32c | 766$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed Yes | 33c | 759$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Yes | 34c | 747$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 33c | 718$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 66c | 717$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 70c | 714.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.22 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 34c | 703.94$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +276.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed No | 66c | 703$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed Yes | 17c | 697$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 30c | 689$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.52 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked No | 67c | 681$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.73 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 75c | 680$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 31c | 679$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.34 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 68c | 663$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed Yes | 33c | 661$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed Yes | 31c | 660$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 15c | 647.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 70c | 647$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed Yes | 31c | 640$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.33 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked No | 66c | 632$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 68c | 613$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.62 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 17c | 613$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 33c | 598.3$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +132%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 33c | 595$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed No | 65c | 587$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Yes | 33c | 566$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…b486backed Yes | 30c | 550$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 34c | 550$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 69c | 550$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 20c | 548.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 65c | 546.41$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed No | 75c | 531$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 25c | 526$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…5122backed Yes | 30c | 516$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…7130backed No | 67c | 510$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed Yes | 15c | 497$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked Yes | 35c | 491$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 66c | 486$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 33c | 485$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed No | 69c | 475$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 35c | 474$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.57 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed Yes | 33c | 468$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 31c | 467.01$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed No | 67c | 459$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed Yes | 33c | 453$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked Yes | 34c | 449$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.66 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 16c | 447.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed No | 68c | 442$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed Yes | 31c | 440$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed No | 66c | 424$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 34c | 424$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed No | 66c | 419$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 408.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 32c | 405.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 41c | 400$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82c…dd71backed Yes | 37c | 399.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed No | 67c | 399$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 69c | 399$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…5ffabacked Yes | 22c | 394.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 69c | 388$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 69c | 387$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 32c | 387$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 64c | 384.64$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 74c | 380$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe02backed Yes | 34c | 373$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked No | 69c | 363$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 21c | 358$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed Yes | 17c | 357$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…af79backed No | 66c | 352$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 67c | 351$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?Yes won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.