NBA · resolved market
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15ba9c42b7b541d4acfcf44ac0c9d1e7740f4e3d320868b2eb2543596a2d2154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 574 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 55c | 5,764$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.41 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 39c | 4,973$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.92 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 19c | 4,443$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.34 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 28c | 4,320$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.92 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 45c | 3,346$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.07 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 62c | 3,307$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.37 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 46c | 3,172$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.05 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 39c | 2,269$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.33 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 37c | 1,983$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 57c | 1,887$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.29 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 28c | 1,806$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.53 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 63c | 1,790$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 46c | 1,647$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…dae9backed Yes | 1c | 1,641$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 44c | 1,544$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed No | 44c | 1,517$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.05 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 39c | 1,504$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,483$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,461$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…3dfcbacked Yes | 55c | 1,402$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 6c | 1,389$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed No | 45c | 1,361$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…4578backed No | 45c | 1,354$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 62c | 1,326$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 54c | 1,311$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…ea0ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,298$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.01 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 43c | 1,286$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 6c | 1,284$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked Yes | 55c | 1,280$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed No | 45c | 1,233$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 61c | 1,207$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.53 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 55c | 1,206$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.05 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 40c | 1,201$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…8085backed No | 51c | 1,148$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed No | 38c | 1,139$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.18 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 55c | 1,133$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 45c | 1,132$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.01 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,124$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes | 50c | 1,120$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.66 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…38d2backed Yes | 55c | 1,101$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed Yes | 56c | 1,088$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked No | 37c | 1,087$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.81 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 63c | 1,086$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed Yes | 52c | 1,081$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.93 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…78cbbacked No | 46c | 1,078$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes | 64c | 1,052$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed No | 39c | 1,048$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed No | 42c | 1,036$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed No | 46c | 1,026$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Yes | 14c | 1,015$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 39c | 1,011$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.17 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…01e3backed No | 29c | 1,009$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked No | 46c | 1,007$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed No | 38c | 1,006$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.72 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 2c | 1,002$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked Yes | 56c | 996$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Yes | 56c | 995$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed No | 44c | 990$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 6c | 988.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 67c | 988$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.74 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 42c | 984$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed No | 43c | 980$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked No | 45c | 980$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed No | 44c | 970$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed No | 44c | 968$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 65c | 968$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.65 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 47c | 967$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.59 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 31c | 963$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 53c | 962$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed No | 45c | 955$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 59c | 929$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.11 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed No | 45c | 928$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 52c | 926$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.54 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…fb12backed No | 45c | 923$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 60cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…fa57backed Yes | 56c | 921$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed Yes | 59c | 916$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed No | 37c | 914$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes | 59c | 906$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…2f84backed Yes | 55c | 906$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…ea4ebacked No | 45c | 894$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 41c | 891$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.09 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked No | 31c | 890$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed Yes | 55c | 884$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 61c | 881$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed No | 45c | 871$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfda4…1058backed No | 45c | 863$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 31c | 858$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…9be8backed No | 45c | 855$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed No | 40c | 854$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…e13abacked Yes | 55c | 854$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed Yes | 55c | 848$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked Yes | 55c | 844$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 49c | 842$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.58 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 54c | 838$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.23 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 50c | 835$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed No | 47c | 828$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 55c | 819$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed No | 38c | 815$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 55c | 796$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?Yes won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.