NBA · resolved market
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6f3732fc2464da2ed17f4270dc87ac59a2b4b1ed711d491f9584ca9a783c95c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 21c | 5,009$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.23 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 8c | 3,129$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed No | 80c | 2,557$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 77c | 2,522$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.15 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 8c | 1,816$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.66 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 8c | 1,644$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 3c | 1,644$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 6c | 1,572$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,547$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 9c | 1,514$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Yes | 8c | 1,366$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 4c | 1,284$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 76c | 1,280$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.91 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 6c | 1,133$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 5c | 826.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -9.1wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 25c | 702.94$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +276.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6daf…2db1backed Yes | 11c | 679.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 20c | 643.19$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 23c | 598.3$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +132%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 539.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed Yes | 7c | 513.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…bfaebacked Yes | 25c | 470.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 16c | 437.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 4c | 396.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 5c | 392.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…6839backed Yes | 10c | 357.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…ef26backed Yes | 21c | 340.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…2a67backed Yes | 34c | 296.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 6c | 253.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…0c17backed Yes | 11c | 233.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +257.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed Yes | 15c | 227.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 203.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes | 21c | 194.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 11c | 185$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 13c | 169.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 22c | 135.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…b2c7backed Yes | 15c | 135.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b741backed Yes | 9c | 118.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…57fdbacked Yes | 17c | 116.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82c…dd71backed Yes | 39c | 100.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…18c6backed Yes | 17c | 95.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…cbb8backed Yes | 16c | 87.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…d5e4backed Yes | 22c | 75.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 21c | 56.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca2…fccdbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?Yes won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.