NBA · resolved market
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeadca300f9565a5836e4e09b22c547a2e4dfa9ef53edf0fdfa9ca5795316c14d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 8c | 2,053$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.77 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 1,838$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 8c | 1,821$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 75c | 1,615$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 1,511$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.2 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,390$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 26c | 1,289$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.84 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 7c | 1,272$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.03 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,270$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 14c | 1,266$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.84 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed No | 77c | 1,264$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked Yes | 17c | 1,196$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80af…0c19backed No | 8c | 1,035$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked No | 77c | 981$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…827bbacked Yes | 23c | 967$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked No | 75c | 906$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 16c | 896$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed Yes | 11c | 883$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +283.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed No | 76c | 861$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 11c | 846$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.94 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b7d3backed No | 76c | 823$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…838dbacked No | 77c | 798$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 11c | 785$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.05 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked No | 77c | 782$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 15c | 778$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.3 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed No | 77c | 772$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes | 17c | 715$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked Yes | 24c | 706$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 7c | 704.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +276.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 11c | 684$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.76 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes | 23c | 678$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes | 23c | 677$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed Yes | 23c | 675$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edf…0f44backed Yes | 14c | 650.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.52 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 21c | 629.22$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.12 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 17c | 627.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 38c | 613.6$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.37 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 11c | 612.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.6 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 9c | 607$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.75 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 6c | 598.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +132%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Yes | 23c | 584$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed No | 55c | 561$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 24c | 556$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked Yes | 14c | 537$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.82 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 14c | 532$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.52 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 63c | 523.39$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.46 | 203 | 56.7%115 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 11c | 522$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.58 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 66c | 512.62$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.47 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked No | 76c | 503$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes | 14c | 502$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.72 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 24c | 479.37$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 5c | 470$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 8c | 467.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed No | 77c | 466$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…c2dfbacked Yes | 23c | 453$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…fa57backed Yes | 23c | 449$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 16c | 430$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…5cffbacked Yes | 44c | 426.06$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed No | 78c | 417$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82c…dd71backed Yes | 43c | 408.38$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.38 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 40c | 406.44$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked Yes | 18c | 401$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Yes | 65c | 388.59$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed Yes | 14c | 383$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…ab94backed Yes | 24c | 380$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked No | 77c | 376$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 46c | 375.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed No | 76c | 374$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 45c | 373$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…4ddebacked Yes | 17c | 369$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed No | 78c | 368$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 77c | 367$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…4578backed Yes | 23c | 361$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 77c | 357$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…d0a2backed No | 77c | 353$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 75c | 352.1$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked Yes | 22c | 346$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…bc58backed No | 12c | 343.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed Yes | 23c | 342$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed Yes | 23c | 338$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 11c | 332$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.48 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 42c | 324.06$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 23c | 318$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.86 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed No | 7c | 309.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…832ebacked No | 77c | 308$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed Yes | 11c | 301$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.89 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 11c | 299$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.11 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 11c | 292$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed Yes | 23c | 291$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Yes | 27c | 284.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked No | 77c | 282$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…e50fbacked No | 77c | 278$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed Yes | 23c | 278$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked No | 77c | 277$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…2d8abacked No | 77c | 276$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed Yes | 22c | 272$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 14c | 270$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed Yes | 23c | 262$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?this page
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.