TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes18c15,193$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.881,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No71c4,012$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.662,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5748…3c7bbacked Yes47c2,279$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.7540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes24c1,955$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.4510848.1%52 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7274…1613backed Yes16c1,696$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Yes28c1,653$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes15c1,622$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9734032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked No74c1,396$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2145…1e5dbacked No79c1,392$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes17c1,200$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.06372.7%1 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-54.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7086…f376backed No73c1,124$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c12…d725backed Yes21c1,117$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533d…e5ecbacked No75c1,095$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes41c1,063$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.64942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x184f…a48fbacked Yes21c1,043$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbf…7328backed No79c1,016$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82e4…fa57backed Yes21c989$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1683backed Yes24c979$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8507…7f61backed No79c962$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0042…e62fbacked Yes21c961$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes27c944$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed No76c890$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+278.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x128e…001dbacked Yes22c888$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked Yes24c884$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes27c881$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…89f6backed Yes49c867$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9498…d950backed No79c845$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa5…2380backed Yes21c834$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3f…6e13backed No79c805$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…857abacked No79c793$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes25c776.42$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.264245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557a…9f70backed Yes21c743$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed Yes23c735$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed Yes27c718$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03a3…fdf4backed No73c706$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5518…1211backed No77c684$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes17c643.35$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.565137.3%19 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88f1…8e46backed Yes21c639$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf919…9379backed Yes23c635.7$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed Yes24c633$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e4e…6533backed Yes27c621$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No50c600$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3039436.2%34 W · 60 L-13.1wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2bc0…fab9backed Yes21c592$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd2b…ebedbacked No76c574$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63df…30a8backed Yes35c573.88$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.093043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941a…90c4backed Yes27c549$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e5…d252backed No73c545$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfda4…1058backed No77c539$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x177a…aa8ebacked No76c538$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cae…c0eebacked No76c532$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+91.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaef9…0acbbacked No79c522$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes29c518$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34be…6797backed No76c512$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a7…6569backed No79c504$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+119.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes27c502$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8132…a491backed Yes25c501$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes17c500$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4645447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes46c497$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.089553.7%51 W · 44 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes21c492$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x643c…3fc2backed Yes9c486.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.721346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes21c485$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605c…83dcbacked No79c481$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda64…9bc5backed No73c478$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ee…5adebacked No70c475$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caa…fb12backed No78c471$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea90…0f8fbacked Yes23c469$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19cd…f7ffbacked No72c461$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-65.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed Yes12c458.26$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No67c449.25$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.483348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e9…8e90backed No79c444$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked Yes24c439$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked No76c429.57$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.812138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Yes48c423.65$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8515245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa232…175fbacked Yes23c421$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes24c420.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0310336.9%38 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0de…fc0dbacked Yes20c420$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc123…115cbacked Yes22c408.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed No79c405.5$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.41128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-89.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes9c402.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.42128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981e…d368backed No79c402$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc6…2539backed Yes16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d2b…fd2cbacked No75c390$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…0918backed Yes25c390$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf75c…838dbacked Yes21c381$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5322…95e1backed No79c377$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2d…caf4backed Yes26c370$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed No76c369$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes13c358.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.86811.8%8 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd907…f15fbacked Yes27c356.4$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes21c355$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.165345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1efd…8fb8backed Yes24c332.36$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x755e…7b04backed No78c332$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d93…7f30backed Yes22c332$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb6…5ea0backed Yes21c322$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Yes18c321.34$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3315751.6%81 W · 76 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc2…40d7backed No77c321$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…34e0backed No73c321$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes16c320.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.181216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes23c317.34$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7217227.3%47 W · 125 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12e3…dbd4backed No79c317$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.