NHL · resolved market
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e99f6a90d91428c77816ca5884607b744420904cff1df30d5633c6f5eae5108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes | 44c | 28,589$12,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,933.6 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 53c | 10,216$5,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.56 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes | 39c | 5,775$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.29 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 19c | 4,230$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.71 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 62c | 3,251$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.32 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 30c | 3,233$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…1477backed Yes | 39c | 2,252$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,134$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.09 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 55c | 2,093$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 52c | 1,915$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 52c | 1,858$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.97 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 50c | 1,843$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed Yes | 47c | 1,767$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 47c | 1,742$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed No | 55c | 1,484$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed No | 50c | 1,344$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed Yes | 50c | 1,203$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed No | 51c | 1,194$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 1,192$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.87 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,168$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 50c | 1,156$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed No | 55c | 1,148$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…1837backed Yes | 45c | 1,108$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes | 45c | 1,036$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 49c | 1,034$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed No | 54c | 983$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 45c | 970$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed Yes | 45c | 961$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 46c | 939$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 49c | 923$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 45c | 913$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2111…667fbacked Yes | 45c | 912$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 49c | 912$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked No | 50c | 903$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed No | 55c | 898$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 45c | 888$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…ae79backed No | 55c | 885$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed Yes | 46c | 881$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed Yes | 48c | 867$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 860.7$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.39 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…c84abacked No | 50c | 856$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked Yes | 50c | 830$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 53c | 827$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 50c | 815$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 50c | 815$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 14c | 809.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.68 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed No | 50c | 785$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 55c | 754$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed No | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…79d6backed No | 54c | 740$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…7ddcbacked Yes | 45c | 739$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 736.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.44 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed No | 55c | 724$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 50c | 715$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 50c | 711$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 50c | 696$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Yes | 45c | 694$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 47c | 688.93$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.56 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…f49dbacked Yes | 37c | 655.14$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 51c | 654$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked No | 51c | 649$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed No | 50c | 634$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked No | 54c | 630$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes | 45c | 620$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed No | 55c | 610$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 54c | 610$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 53c | 605$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed Yes | 50c | 599$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 51c | 596$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed No | 50c | 581$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 55c | 567$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed Yes | 50c | 565$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked Yes | 50c | 542$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed No | 55c | 540$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 50c | 531$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 50c | 525$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 54c | 519$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked No | 55c | 519$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…3884backed No | 50c | 518$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked No | 50c | 516$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed No | 50c | 515$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed No | 54c | 515$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 55c | 514$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed Yes | 45c | 512$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 12c | 509.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.03 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 50c | 509$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 50c | 505$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed No | 53c | 485.6$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.37 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed No | 50c | 469$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 50c | 453$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 55c | 451$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed No | 51c | 441$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked Yes | 49c | 435$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed Yes | 49c | 431$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked No | 50c | 430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 50c | 427$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed Yes | 46c | 425$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the Pacific Division?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the Pacific Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.