TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c07…0cbc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 56 out of 100; worst Movies at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.25
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$53.95
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$84.7
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.96
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$203.06
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$180.5
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.7
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.75
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+176.2%+$590.79
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+102%+$242.43
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.52
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.5
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$58.5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.4%+$180.05
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$41.82
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36.12
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$152.26
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$295.96
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$164.12
All 23 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.31
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$53.5
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.65
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$194.82
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$59.78
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.19
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$403.2
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.72
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$26.4
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$143.64
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$181.04
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$77.28
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$94.54
Will Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) win Best Actress – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$28.16
Will "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$77
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$323
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$93.74
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$411.38
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+150%+$655.8
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.55
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.16
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$29.68
Will Trump say "Erdogan" first during Saudi PM events on November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.71
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$144.68
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+116.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$489
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oregon and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$98.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.