TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9178…a2b2backed No1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c1,257$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.825679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77e…83a4backed Yes56c1,246$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.824100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+200%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd19a…5b88backed Yes55c1,096$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.2560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+114.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02ee…5adebacked Yes55c1,096$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes57c985$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f5…b461backed No44c952$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes55c905$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked No44c862$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed Yes57c843$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.591136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb29…19c8backed No45c772$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a0…b7bdbacked Yes56c759$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Yes57c755$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b8…84e3backed No44c754$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes55c746$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x546a…1abbbacked No44c737$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed No43c731$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.33520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked Yes57c714$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed No43c697$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.71650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a4…ca01backed Yes49c694.67$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.421947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed Yes55c691$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b9…5f57backed No43c649$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes55c646$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.71258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed No43c645$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3570%0 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x31a8…1f07backed No45c622$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.91050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+52.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes56c619$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes57c605$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb88…6b99backed Yes57c605$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7170…ed44backed No43c604$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7240%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f4…0430backed No44c601$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19cd…f7ffbacked No42c598$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.16850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea7…2550backed No45c595$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+60.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x451a…a0c9backed No45c578$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5374…952abacked No45c576$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed No45c575$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.751450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes57c568$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73df…ba67backed Yes58c560$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No3c554.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.961444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5cf…90e6backed No45c550$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b63…52cfbacked Yes55c542$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f3…ff7bbacked No11c525$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.511560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7feb…6bc2backed Yes57c513$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea25…d3aabacked Yes58c506$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+106.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed No45c505$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.25540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+31%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No7c503.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.051926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x750b…7a65backed Yes57c498$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…c83bbacked No44c493$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eae…3562backed No45c485$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d4…5735backed No43c473$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.39862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+110.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2abd…74ebbacked No43c469$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked No43c467$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4440%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f58…e29abacked No43c456$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c1…704bbacked No43c447$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafa3…c3ddbacked Yes57c446$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d7…0217backed No45c445$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e2…85b7backed No43c430$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aca…cad6backed No45c424$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1683backed Yes55c424$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72dd…8be4backed Yes56c422$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.68366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3d…9ef2backed Yes57c420$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24e4…09dcbacked No44c415$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-63.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed Yes56c415$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed Yes55c414$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked No45c408$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.661050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3024…0c79backed Yes57c402$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.86650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed No43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa906…84e4backed Yes57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed No3c400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6362.8%1 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked Yes57c380$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54f2…55d9backed No45c356$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9264…3734backed Yes56c351$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x997f…b3c2backed No45c351$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc713…891fbacked Yes57c343$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.491050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64c9…6bdebacked No43c334$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+131.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked No45c329$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.051040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed Yes57c324$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88fa…2cf4backed No42c323$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked No42c321$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes56c312$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0042…e62fbacked No45c308$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed No43c293$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+99.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed No43c284$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffff…35bebacked Yes55c279$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed Yes57c269$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+73.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed Yes55c269$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee4…9964backed No42c267$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40f…7fc6backed Yes57c265$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+160.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x941a…90c4backed Yes56c264$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.164100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+98%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes57c261$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2247…96e8backed No45c252$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…db2abacked No43c249$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253f…e642backed No43c244$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28c8…a94dbacked No44c244$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No35c242.22$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.43839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c2…c527backed Yes55c235$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfec…09a7backed No42c233$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.86520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf351…6284backed No44c233$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes74c218.5$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7110434.6%36 W · 68 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No41c218.25$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5312827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed No45c210$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.