NFL · resolved market
Will John Harbaugh join the Cleveland Browns prior to April 23, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa055ae337ffc00c18fa2a5e4aca6b385b75e78d44310a2f2981a406f15c05157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,646$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 17c | 767$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 17c | 670$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes | 17c | 653$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 17c | 591$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed Yes | 17c | 486$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes | 18c | 456$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 19c | 427$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed Yes | 17c | 351$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed Yes | 17c | 315$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…0c79backed Yes | 17c | 315$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 17c | 271$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed Yes | 19c | 229$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Yes | 5c | 209.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed Yes | 17c | 167$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed Yes | 19c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will John Harbaugh join the Cleveland Browns prior to April 23, 2026?this page
- Will John Harbaugh join the Atlanta Falcons prior to April 23, 2026?No won
- Will John Harbaugh join the Las Vegas Raiders prior to April 23, 2026?No won
- Will John Harbaugh join the Miami Dolphins prior to April 23, 2026?No won
- Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?Yes won
- Will John Harbaugh join the Tennessee Titans prior to April 23, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.