Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabdfaae7b3d15f709e840c9911d63c5c745bed1100a642ffbbdd3784b9b69c2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 20c | 3,742$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Yes | 30c | 1,987$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…a17cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 15c | 988.28$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 33c | 959$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 18c | 952.49$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.31 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 26c | 909$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 75c | 895$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed No | 29c | 889$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked No | 26c | 883$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 43c | 836$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6cd5backed No | 25c | 824$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed No | 21c | 817.79$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed No | 26c | 783$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed Yes | 74c | 782$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672b…68d2backed No | 25c | 777$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed No | 25c | 766$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a64bbacked Yes | 74c | 757$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…306dbacked Yes | 79c | 700$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 75c | 691$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed Yes | 75c | 690$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 682.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed No | 29c | 666$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 28c | 658$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 23c | 622.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0ec1backed No | 26c | 622$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed Yes | 75c | 610$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 15c | 595.53$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 42c | 590$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 52c | 583.57$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.72 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked No | 27c | 572$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…d9fcbacked Yes | 16c | 569$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 25c | 567$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 25c | 567$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 21c | 554.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 74c | 542$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed Yes | 75c | 533$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed Yes | 74c | 526$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Yes | 74c | 507$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed Yes | 75c | 499$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked Yes | 75c | 495$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed No | 25c | 489$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed Yes | 75c | 488$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 4c | 475.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed No | 26c | 473$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes | 75c | 469$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 26c | 451$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 74c | 451$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 75c | 443$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed No | 25c | 430$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed No | 25c | 430$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 25c | 410$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34be…6797backed No | 26c | 403$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…1f63backed Yes | 74c | 403$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 16c | 395.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Yes | 79c | 391.79$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…9ae5backed Yes | 78c | 385.56$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Yes | 75c | 385$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 11c | 383.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 39c | 379$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed Yes | 75c | 374$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…2371backed No | 36c | 369.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…52cfbacked Yes | 74c | 366$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 27c | 364.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.41 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…175fbacked Yes | 74c | 361$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 42c | 360$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 77c | 358$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 18c | 356.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.95 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 13c | 356.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d5f6backed Yes | 61c | 343$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Yes | 19c | 335$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…7ddcbacked Yes | 74c | 329$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +230.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…ba67backed No | 25c | 327$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed Yes | 74c | 318$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…7dadbacked No | 16c | 314.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…b755backed Yes | 39c | 312.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed Yes | 30c | 305$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed Yes | 66c | 300$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…e164backed Yes | 74c | 297.59$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…c336backed Yes | 79c | 295.68$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 19c | 295$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked No | 25c | 292$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 76c | 281$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 20c | 280$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes | 74c | 279$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed Yes | 75c | 275$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes | 19c | 274$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed Yes | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 76c | 267.83$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed No | 25c | 266$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 18c | 260$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 58c | 256$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8cf7backed Yes | 73c | 256$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…ef33backed Yes | 73c | 255$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 25c | 254$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5403…edd5backed Yes | 79c | 253.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…ded2backed Yes | 67c | 246$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?this page
- Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?No won
- Will George Foreman IV win TX-18 Special Election?No won
- Will Isaiah Martin win TX-18 Special Election?No won
- Will Jolanda Jones win TX-18 Special Election?No won
- Will Rain Eatmon win TX-18 Special Election?No won
- Will Reyna Anderson win TX-18 Special Election?No won
- Will Robert Slater win TX-18 Special Election?No won
- Will Zoe Cadore win TX-18 Special Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.