Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30054813e3042a136c7425521dcff77de0f373eb90115a18a1572385600789cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,373$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.45 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed Yes | 20c | 1,283$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes | 26c | 1,207$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed Yes | 21c | 1,187$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…4dacbacked Yes | 12c | 1,109$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 80c | 1,106$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…3e62backed Yes | 20c | 1,092$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed Yes | 20c | 1,076$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 9c | 963.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed No | 76c | 955$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…ba67backed No | 80c | 930$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 20c | 880$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…6232backed No | 79c | 874$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed Yes | 20c | 859$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 12c | 836.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 368 | 22%81 W · 287 L | -27.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes | 20c | 789$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 17c | 773$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Yes | 16c | 772$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked No | 80c | 770$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…cb94backed Yes | 20c | 713$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…6f80backed Yes | 13c | 686.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…351ebacked No | 76c | 679$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 19c | 674$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 78c | 654$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed Yes | 22c | 645$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed No | 75c | 632$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes | 20c | 617$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed Yes | 20c | 597$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed Yes | 33c | 596$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked No | 80c | 592$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 80c | 583$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…7c05backed No | 80c | 580$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed No | 80c | 580$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked No | 80c | 580$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 20c | 574$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 25c | 573$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 80c | 565$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 20c | 551$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes | 20c | 551$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e17…320dbacked Yes | 10c | 549.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 80c | 546$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 80c | 545$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed No | 80c | 526$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed No | 80c | 504$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 20c | 496$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed No | 80c | 489$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c824backed No | 67c | 480$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed Yes | 33c | 480$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 76c | 472$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed Yes | 24c | 469$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 23c | 466$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 24c | 447$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked No | 76c | 447$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 24c | 445$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 24c | 432$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 36cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…a6aabacked Yes | 22c | 428$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked No | 75c | 417$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 67c | 417$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 24c | 404$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed No | 67c | 389$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 42cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed No | 80c | 384$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 20c | 384$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe854…269fbacked Yes | 9c | 374.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 20c | 366$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 80c | 357$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked No | 80c | 354$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed Yes | 24c | 346$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…ea0ebacked Yes | 17c | 346$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed No | 76c | 315$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked No | 75c | 307$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed Yes | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 300$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 346 | 34.7%120 W · 226 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed No | 80c | 294$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 20c | 294$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 12c | 273$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 25c | 268$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…9be8backed Yes | 20c | 263$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…3008backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 14c | 253$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…3c30backed No | 76c | 246$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Yes | 20c | 245$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed Yes | 22c | 226$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ac…9907backed Yes | 13c | 224$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 24c | 223.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 12c | 217$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Yes | 11c | 216.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 12c | 216$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Yes | 12c | 216$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed Yes | 14c | 214$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed No | 79c | 211$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…01e3backed No | 77c | 205$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed Yes | 24c | 205$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…ce56backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed No | 80c | 194$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed No | 79c | 188$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 11c | 187.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 171 | 32.7%56 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…7130backed Yes | 13c | 187$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…b341backed No | 80c | 186$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 14c | 185$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?this page
- Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?Yes won
- Will George Foreman IV win TX-18 Special Election?No won
- Will Isaiah Martin win TX-18 Special Election?No won
- Will Jolanda Jones win TX-18 Special Election?No won
- Will Rain Eatmon win TX-18 Special Election?No won
- Will Reyna Anderson win TX-18 Special Election?No won
- Will Robert Slater win TX-18 Special Election?No won
- Will Zoe Cadore win TX-18 Special Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.