TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3359…2273

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$46.36
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$38.13
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$80.71
Will Jean Smart win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+127.3%+$272.72
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.7
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+39.6%+$26.96
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$69.72
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.8
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.99
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+171.1%+$168.5
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$78.28
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.19
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$29.76
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45.26
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$109.31
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$28.43
Will Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$92.01
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.11
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.64
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+172.3%+$70.23
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.97
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.82
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$21.68
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+462.9%+$149.67
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$130.48
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.5
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.26
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.72
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.35
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$286.62
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.56
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+48.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$63.36
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$365.95
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.93
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.6%+$37.14
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+331%+$38.18
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.4%+$18.66
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$65.19
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$46.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.47
Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.36
Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.91
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$48.83
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.64
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+29.9%+$115.46
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+244.8%+$67.45
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+81.8%+$10.35
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$37.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$74.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$524.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.